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Mezzolara vs Villabiagio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2017/2018
Mezzolara Logo

Mezzolara

1 - 1
FT
Villabiagio Logo

Villabiagio

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Mezzolara
35%
Draws
32%
Villabiagio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Villabiagio lately — more wins on the board than Mezzolara.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Mezzolara Clean Sheet 19%
Villabiagio Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mezzolara Villabiagio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 11
Draws 11 8
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.7 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Villabiagio
1:1
Sep 9, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Villabiagio vs Mezzolara
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mezzolara 31 / 100
Villabiagio 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mezzolara Villabiagio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mezzolara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villabiagio let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Mezzolara remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Mezzolara scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mezzolara VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mezzolara

(Home)
27 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Grassina
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1
Mezzolara
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1
Ternana
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Mezzolara
06 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Rondinella
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Villabiagio

(Away)
06 May
Colligiana
2 : 3
Villabiagio
29 Apr
Villabiagio
0 : 0
Imolese
22 Apr
Lentigione
4 : 0
Villabiagio
15 Apr
Villabiagio
2 : 2
Sammaurese
08 Apr
Vigor Carpaneto
1 : 1
Villabiagio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rimini 38 23 11 4 65:38 80
2 Imolese 38 21 8 9 72:45 71
3 Forli FC 38 18 11 9 60:43 65
4 Fiorenzuola 38 16 16 6 50:32 64
5 Sangiovannese 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
6 Lentigione 38 16 12 10 45:33 60
7 Villabiagio 38 17 8 13 52:49 59
8 Pianese 38 14 16 8 54:35 58
9 Montevarchi 38 16 8 14 42:40 56
10 Romagna Centro 38 14 12 12 49:42 54
11 Sammaurese 38 14 12 12 34:29 54
12 Sasso Marconi 38 11 12 15 35:48 45
13 Vigor Carpaneto 38 9 18 11 50:48 45
14 Tuttocuoio 38 10 12 16 25:34 42
15 Sporting Trestina 38 10 11 17 36:52 41
16 Castelvetro 38 10 8 20 46:62 38
17 Mezzolara 38 7 15 16 34:50 36
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 38 7 12 19 40:62 33
19 Correggese 38 6 14 18 37:55 32
20 Colligiana 38 7 8 23 27:60 29
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 (Play Offs)