Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MFK Karvina vs Vlasim

Czech Republic Czech Republic

ChNL Town Stadium Karvina, Karvina
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Dufek J.
59'
Sub
Pira J. In: Konate F.
Out: Pira J.
59'
Sub
Conde O. In: Kronus A.
Out: Conde O.

AI Match Summary

The ChNL game between MFK Karvina and Vlasim finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MFK Karvina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
MFK Karvina
15%
Draws
42%
Vlasim
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MFK Karvina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • MFK Karvina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
MFK Karvina Clean Sheet 12%
Vlasim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MFK Karvina Vlasim
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 1 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.78 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 ChNL
MFK Karvina vs Vlasim
1:0
Nov 13, 2022 ChNL
Vlasim vs MFK Karvina
2:1
Aug 5, 2022 ChNL
MFK Karvina vs Vlasim
3:2
Sep 30, 2020 MOL Cup
MFK Karvina vs Vlasim
1:3
Mar 26, 2016 ChNL
MFK Karvina vs Vlasim
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MFK Karvina Compare

Top Goalscorer Kronus A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Vlasim Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MFK Karvina 30 / 100
Vlasim 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MFK Karvina Vlasim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MFK Karvina's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Vlasim let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Vlasim has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

MFK Karvina VS Vlasim
2.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

MFK Karvina

(Home)
18 Sept
MFK Karvina
3 : 2
Kromeriz
11 Sept
Trinec
3 : 2
MFK Karvina
04 Sept
MFK Karvina
2 : 0
SK Kladno
29 Aug
Pribram
2 : 1
MFK Karvina
26 Aug
FK Kozlovice
2 : 1
MFK Karvina
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Vlasim

(Away)
20 Sept
Vlasim
4 : 1
Taborsko
15 Sept
Vlasim
0 : 2
Liberec
11 Sept
Dukla Prague
3 : 1
Vlasim
04 Sept
Vlasim
2 : 1
Trinec
29 Aug
FK Ceska Lipa
2 : 1
Vlasim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MFK Karvina 9 6 0 3 19:12 18
2 Usti nad Labem 9 5 3 1 15:8 18
3 Dukla Prague 9 5 2 2 18:13 17
4 Jihlava 9 5 1 3 14:9 16
5 Pribram 9 3 5 1 15:14 14
6 Slavia Prague B 9 3 4 2 19:15 13
7 Taborsko 9 3 4 2 13:12 13
8 Vlasim 9 3 3 3 17:14 12
9 Ostrava B 9 3 2 4 15:12 11
10 SK Kladno 9 2 4 3 13:14 10
11 Opava 9 2 4 3 13:15 10
12 Zizkov 9 3 1 5 8:16 10
13 FK Ceska Lipa 9 2 3 4 10:16 9
14 Prostejov 9 1 5 3 11:12 8
15 Trinec 9 1 4 4 10:17 7
16 Kromeriz 9 1 3 5 8:19 6
Promotion - Chance Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Chance Liga (Relegation)