Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MFK Karvina vs Vlasim

Czech Republic Czech Republic

ChNL Town Stadium Karvina, Karvina
Fri, Jul 31, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MFK Karvina host Vlasim in the ChNL. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: MFK Karvina at 1.25 goals for, 1.5 against; Vlasim at 1.88 for, 1.63 against. Past meetings favor MFK Karvina slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 13, 2022, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.69) point toward Vlasim. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
MFK Karvina
30%
Draws
34%
Vlasim
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: MFK Karvina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Vlasim carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on MFK Karvina taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
MFK Karvina Clean Sheet 13%
Vlasim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MFK Karvina Vlasim
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 11 14
Draws 2 5
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2022 ChNL
Vlasim vs MFK Karvina
2:1
Aug 5, 2022 ChNL
MFK Karvina vs Vlasim
3:2
Sep 30, 2020 MOL Cup
MFK Karvina vs Vlasim
1:3
Mar 26, 2016 ChNL
MFK Karvina vs Vlasim
1:0
Sep 12, 2015 ChNL
Vlasim vs MFK Karvina
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MFK Karvina 35 / 100
Vlasim 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MFK Karvina Vlasim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MFK Karvina's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Vlasim let in goals in 65% of their last 26 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: MFK Karvina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

MFK Karvina VS Vlasim
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

MFK Karvina

(Home)
18 Jul
MFK Karvina
2 : 1
Ruch Chorzow
10 Jul
MFK Karvina
2 : 0
Povazska Bystrica
07 Jul
MFK Karvina
2 : 1
Michalovce
04 Jul
Wisla
2 : 0
MFK Karvina
23 May
Sigma Olomouc
4 : 0
MFK Karvina
Page 1 of 6

Vlasim

(Away)
18 Jul
Domazlice
5 : 3
Vlasim
15 Jul
Vlasim
2 : 2
SK Kladno
11 Jul
Vlasim
4 : 0
Kraluv Dvur
01 Jul
Slavia Prague
1 : 2
Vlasim
27 Jun
Vlasim
2 : 1
Dukla Prague
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dukla Prague00000:00
2Opava00000:00
3Jihlava00000:00
4Pribram00000:00
5Usti nad Labem00000:00
6Trinec00000:00
7SK Kladno00000:00
8Zizkov00000:00
9MFK Karvina00000:00
10Vlasim00000:00
11Slavia Prague B00000:00
12FK Ceska Lipa00000:00
13Kromeriz00000:00
14Ostrava B00000:00
15Prostejov00000:00
16Taborsko00000:00
Promotion - Chance Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Chance Liga (Relegation)