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MFK Mykolaiv vs Real Pharma Odesa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Abuzraa Y.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Golubka Y.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Druha Liga 2021/2022 game between MFK Mykolaiv and Real Pharma Odesa finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
MFK Mykolaiv
25%
Draws
35%
Real Pharma Odesa
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: MFK Mykolaiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Real Pharma Odesa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on MFK Mykolaiv taking it.
  • Regular Druha Liga 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • MFK Mykolaiv have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
MFK Mykolaiv Clean Sheet 20%
Real Pharma Odesa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MFK Mykolaiv Real Pharma Odesa
Matches Played 2 31
Wins 0 1
Draws 1 4
Losses 1 26
Goals Scored 0.5 0.58
Goals Conceded 3 3.19
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2021 Druha Liga
MFK Mykolaiv vs Real Pharma Odesa
1:1
Jul 31, 2021 Druha Liga
Real Pharma Odesa vs MFK Mykolaiv
2:4
Feb 15, 2018 Club Friendly
Real Pharma Odesa vs MFK Mykolaiv
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MFK Mykolaiv 85 / 100
Real Pharma Odesa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MFK Mykolaiv Real Pharma Odesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MFK Mykolaiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Pharma Odesa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Real Pharma Odesa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: MFK Mykolaiv scored in 50% of their last 2 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Real Pharma Odesa
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 3.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

MFK Mykolaiv

(Home)
28 Jul
Karpaty Lviv
5 : 0
MFK Mykolaiv
06 Nov
MFK Mykolaiv
1 : 1
Real Pharma Odesa

Real Pharma Odesa

(Away)
22 May
Real Pharma Odesa
0 : 3
Kulikiv
10 May
Bukovyna 2
2 : 1
Real Pharma Odesa
01 May
FC Uzhhorod
2 : 2
Real Pharma Odesa
25 Apr
Real Pharma Odesa
:
Lisne
25 Apr
Real Pharma Odesa
1 : 5
FC Vilkhivtsi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karpaty Lviv 18 16 0 2 46:7 48
2 Livyi Bereg 19 15 1 3 47:14 46
3 LNZ Cherkasy 17 13 2 2 36:9 41
4 Dinaz Vyshgorod 19 13 1 5 33:18 40
5 Epitsentr 19 12 1 6 30:19 37
6 Munkacs Mukacheve 19 8 5 6 25:24 29
7 Karpaty Halych 18 7 4 7 23:23 25
8 Nyva Vinnytsya 17 7 4 6 29:20 25
9 Bukovyna 18 6 5 7 20:17 23
10 FC Chernihiv 18 5 5 8 17:24 20
11 Dnipro Cherkasy 18 5 2 11 24:32 17
12 Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka 19 3 6 10 16:40 15
13 Rubikon Kyiv 19 4 2 13 12:38 14
14 AFSC Kyiv 19 1 5 13 8:38 8
15 Liubomyr Stavyshche 19 1 1 17 8:51 4
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 19 13 6 0 34:7 45
2 Skoruk Tomakovka 20 12 5 3 33:14 41
3 FK Balkany 20 10 9 1 34:14 39
4 Peremoga Dnipro 20 12 3 5 34:14 39
5 Tavriya 19 9 6 4 28:19 33
6 SC Poltava 20 9 4 7 29:27 31
7 Trostyanets 19 9 4 6 34:29 31
8 MFK Mykolaiv 17 8 6 3 35:24 30
9 FC Vovchansk 20 7 6 7 27:25 27
10 Victoria 19 8 3 8 22:23 27
11 Fenix Mariupol 20 6 6 8 36:29 24
12 FC Nikopol 20 5 5 10 22:42 20
13 Nova Kakhovka 20 5 2 13 20:40 17
14 Real Pharma Odesa 20 4 2 14 22:49 14
15 Krystal 20 2 3 15 19:36 9
16 FC Sumy 19 1 2 16 16:53 5
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)