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Miajadas vs CD Calamonte

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Miajadas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Miajadas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Miajadas
20%
Draws
40%
CD Calamonte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Miajadas have won more games recently than CD Calamonte.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Miajadas Clean Sheet 25%
CD Calamonte Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miajadas CD Calamonte
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 4
Draws 5 10
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0.77 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Miajadas
4:0
Jan 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Miajadas vs CD Calamonte
1:0
Apr 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Miajadas
2:1
Dec 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Miajadas vs CD Calamonte
0:4
Apr 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Miajadas vs CD Calamonte
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miajadas 37 / 100
CD Calamonte 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miajadas CD Calamonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Calamonte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Calamonte conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Difficult form: CD Calamonte registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Miajadas scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Calamonte
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Miajadas

(Home)
23 Apr
CD Calamonte
4 : 0
Miajadas
16 Apr
Miajadas
0 : 4
Jerez CF
05 Apr
Fuente de Cantos
1 : 0
Miajadas
01 Apr
UP Plasencia
1 : 1
Miajadas
26 Mar
Miajadas
0 : 1
Moralo
Page 1 of 6

CD Calamonte

(Away)
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
CD Calamonte
03 May
CD Calamonte
0 : 3
CD Badajoz
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0
CD Calamonte
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3
Montijo
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1
CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Llerenense 30 18 10 2 52:22 64
2 CD Azuaga 30 19 5 6 58:29 62
3 Moralo 30 15 10 5 52:24 55
4 Olivenza FC 30 15 8 7 46:33 53
5 Jerez CF 30 13 10 7 39:25 49
6 Arroyo 30 13 7 10 30:31 46
7 CF Trujillo 30 12 8 10 28:28 44
8 SP Villafranca 30 12 7 11 34:33 43
9 CD Calamonte 30 12 6 12 38:33 42
10 Fuente de Cantos 30 9 12 9 23:28 39
11 Pueblonuevo 30 7 11 12 36:41 32
12 Montehermoso 30 8 7 15 31:53 31
13 Don Alvaro 30 7 6 17 27:54 27
14 Miajadas 30 7 5 18 23:41 26
15 UP Plasencia 30 6 6 18 31:43 24
16 La Estrella 30 5 6 19 30:60 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 (Play Offs)