Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Michigan Stars vs Flower City Union

USA USA

NISA 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Ferreira L.
35'
Diakhate A.
50'
Sub
Figbe P. In: Pranica T.
Out: Figbe P.

AI Match Summary

Flower City Union in this NISA 2023 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Michigan Stars
15%
Draws
59%
Flower City Union
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flower City Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Michigan Stars have won more games recently than Flower City Union.
  • Michigan Stars are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Michigan Stars have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Flower City Union, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Michigan Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Flower City Union Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Michigan Stars Flower City Union
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 20 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.71 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2023 NISA
Michigan Stars vs Flower City Union
0:1
Sep 23, 2023 NISA
Flower City Union vs Michigan Stars
2:3
Aug 27, 2023 NISA
Michigan Stars vs Flower City Union
2:0
Oct 10, 2022 NISA
Flower City Union vs Michigan Stars
0:2
Jul 3, 2022 NISA
Michigan Stars vs Flower City Union
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Michigan Stars Compare

Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Flower City Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolduc M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Michigan Stars 68 / 100
Flower City Union 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Michigan Stars Flower City Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Michigan Stars Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Michigan Stars's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Defensive concern: Flower City Union conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Michigan Stars went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Michigan Stars VS Flower City Union
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 9
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Michigan Stars

(Home)
13 Oct
Irvine Zeta
3 : 0
Michigan Stars
21 Sept
Michigan Stars
3 : 0
Savannah Clovers
14 Sept
Maryland Bobcats
3 : 1
Michigan Stars
11 Sept
Maryland Bobcats
2 : 0
Michigan Stars
04 Sept
Savannah Clovers
2 : 2
Michigan Stars
Page 1 of 7

Flower City Union

(Away)
19 Mar
Lexington
9 : 0
Flower City Union
11 Nov
Michigan Stars
0 : 1
Flower City Union
05 Nov
Chattanooga
0 : 1
Flower City Union
30 Oct
LA Force
2 : 4
Flower City Union
14 Oct
Flower City Union
0 : 2
Chattanooga
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Chattanooga -
TBD -
LA Force 2
Flower City Union 4
Michigan Stars -
TBD -
Albion San Diego 1
Maryland Bobcats 0
Semi-finals
Chattanooga 0
Flower City Union 1
Michigan Stars 3
Albion San Diego 2
Final
Flower City Union 1
Michigan Stars 0