Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Middelfart vs Roskilde

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Middelfart host Roskilde in the 2nd Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Middelfart at 1.55 goals for, 2.07 against; Roskilde at 1.69 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Roskilde slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.75) point toward Roskilde. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Middelfart
35%
Draws
48%
Roskilde
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Roskilde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Roskilde carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Roskilde taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Middelfart Clean Sheet 12%
Roskilde Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Middelfart Roskilde
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 11
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.55 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 2nd Division
Roskilde vs Middelfart
1:1
May 18, 2024 2nd Division
Roskilde vs Middelfart
0:0
Apr 27, 2024 2nd Division
Middelfart vs Roskilde
2:0
Mar 9, 2024 2nd Division
Roskilde vs Middelfart
3:1
Oct 7, 2023 2nd Division
Middelfart vs Roskilde
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Middelfart 19 / 100
Roskilde 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Middelfart Roskilde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roskilde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roskilde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Middelfart found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Middelfart went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Middelfart VS Roskilde
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Middelfart

(Home)
27 Sept
Naestved IF
2 : 2
Middelfart
19 Sept
Middelfart
1 : 1
VSK Aarhus
13 Sept
Skive
0 : 0
Middelfart
09 Sept
Nykobing
6 : 5
Middelfart
05 Sept
Middelfart
1 : 1
Fremad Amager
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Roskilde

(Away)
25 Sept
Hellerup
1 : 1
Roskilde
18 Sept
Roskilde
5 : 1
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
13 Sept
Brabrand
1 : 1
Roskilde
09 Sept
BK Frem
1 : 2
Roskilde
05 Sept
Roskilde
1 : 0
VSK Aarhus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nykobing 9 6 3 0 24:10 21
2 VSK Aarhus 9 5 3 1 14:5 18
3 Roskilde 9 3 6 0 16:10 15
4 Middelfart 9 3 5 1 17:10 14
5 Naestved IF 9 3 5 1 13:11 14
6 Fremad Amager 9 3 5 1 13:12 14
7 Boldklubben 1893 9 3 3 3 13:13 12
8 Skive 9 3 2 4 11:12 11
9 Hellerup 9 2 2 5 8:16 8
10 Brabrand 9 1 3 5 10:18 6
11 Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 9 1 2 6 10:21 5
12 Thisted FC 9 1 1 7 8:19 4
Promotion - 2nd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 2nd Division (Relegation Group)