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Middelfart vs Thisted FC

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Thomsen L.
15' Event
Akale A.
27' Event
Wehmeyer L.

AI Match Summary

The 2nd Division game between Middelfart and Thisted FC finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Middelfart.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Middelfart
30%
Draws
23%
Thisted FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Middelfart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Thisted FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Middelfart's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular 2nd Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Middelfart have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Middelfart Clean Sheet 20%
Thisted FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Middelfart Thisted FC
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 2
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.55 1.52
Goals Conceded 2 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 2nd Division
Middelfart vs Thisted FC
4:1
Nov 9, 2024 2nd Division
Middelfart vs Thisted FC
3:2
Aug 3, 2024 2nd Division
Thisted FC vs Middelfart
1:0
Apr 1, 2024 2nd Division
Middelfart vs Thisted FC
3:0
Aug 12, 2023 2nd Division
Thisted FC vs Middelfart
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Middelfart Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomsen L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akale A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Thisted FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Foe Nuphaus J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Middelfart 76 / 100
Thisted FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Middelfart Thisted FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Middelfart Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Middelfart scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Thisted FC has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Middelfart stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Middelfart VS Thisted FC
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Middelfart

(Home)
03 Oct
Middelfart
1 : 0
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
27 Sept
Naestved IF
2 : 2
Middelfart
19 Sept
Middelfart
1 : 1
VSK Aarhus
13 Sept
Skive
0 : 0
Middelfart
09 Sept
Nykobing
6 : 5
Middelfart
Page 1 of 6

Thisted FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Thisted FC
0 : 2
Roskilde
26 Sept
Boldklubben 1893
1 : 0
Thisted FC
20 Sept
Thisted FC
3 : 1
Brabrand
13 Sept
Naestved IF
3 : 1
Thisted FC
06 Sept
Thisted FC
0 : 3
Nykobing
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nykobing 10 6 4 0 25:11 22
2 Roskilde 10 4 6 0 18:10 18
3 VSK Aarhus 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
4 Middelfart 10 4 5 1 18:10 17
5 Boldklubben 1893 10 4 3 3 16:13 15
6 Naestved IF 10 3 6 1 14:12 15
7 Skive 10 4 2 4 13:12 14
8 Fremad Amager 10 3 5 2 13:15 14
9 Brabrand 10 2 3 5 12:18 9
10 Hellerup 10 2 2 6 8:18 8
11 Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 10 1 2 7 10:22 5
12 Thisted FC 10 1 1 8 8:21 4
Promotion - 2nd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 2nd Division (Relegation Group)