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Middelfart vs Thisted FC

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
15' Event
28' Event

AI Match Summary

The 2nd Division game between Middelfart and Thisted FC finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Middelfart.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Middelfart
6%
Draws
4%
Thisted FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Middelfart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Thisted FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Middelfart's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 2nd Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Middelfart have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Middelfart Clean Sheet 14%
Thisted FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Middelfart Thisted FC
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 9 12
Draws 2 4
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 2nd Division
Middelfart vs Thisted FC
4:1
Nov 9, 2024 2nd Division
Middelfart vs Thisted FC
3:2
Aug 3, 2024 2nd Division
Thisted FC vs Middelfart
1:0
Apr 1, 2024 2nd Division
Middelfart vs Thisted FC
3:0
Aug 12, 2023 2nd Division
Thisted FC vs Middelfart
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Middelfart 84 / 100
Thisted FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Middelfart Thisted FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MID Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Middelfart scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Thisted FC has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Middelfart stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Middelfart VS Thisted FC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Middelfart

(Home)
01 Aug
Middelfart
4 : 1
Thisted FC
25 Jul
Naesby
0 : 1
Middelfart
18 Jul
Middelfart
3 : 0
VSK Aarhus
14 Jul
Middelfart
3 : 0
Brabrand
11 Jul
Hobro
4 : 0
Middelfart
Page 1 of 6

Thisted FC

(Away)
01 Aug
Middelfart
4 : 1
Thisted FC
25 Jul
Thisted FC
2 : 1
Brabrand
18 Jul
Thisted FC
3 : 2
Holstebro
11 Jul
Silkeborg
6 : 0
Thisted FC
06 Jun
AB Copenhagen
3 : 0
Thisted FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middelfart 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Skive 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Boldklubben 1893 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 VSK Aarhus 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
5 Naestved IF 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
6 Nykobing 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
7 Roskilde 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
8 Fremad Amager 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
9 Brabrand 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
10 Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
11 Hellerup 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
12 Thisted FC 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - 2nd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 2nd Division (Relegation Group)