Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Middlesbrough U18 vs Burnley U18

England England

Premier League U18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Okonkwo D.
25' Event
Roberts J.
Assist: Harrison L.
40' Event
Roberts J.
Assist: Kakai L.

AI Match Summary

Middlesbrough U18 in this Premier League U18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Middlesbrough U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Middlesbrough U18
30%
Draws
41%
Burnley U18
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Burnley U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Burnley U18 at 2.14 per game, Middlesbrough U18 at 1.66.
  • Win probability leans Burnley U18's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Middlesbrough U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Burnley U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Middlesbrough U18 Burnley U18
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.66 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Premier League U18
Middlesbrough U18 vs Burnley U18
5:2
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League U18
Burnley U18 vs Middlesbrough U18
2:3
Mar 12, 2022 Premier League U18
Middlesbrough U18 vs Burnley U18
0:1
Aug 21, 2021 Premier League U18
Burnley U18 vs Middlesbrough U18
2:2
Apr 27, 2021 Premier League U18
Middlesbrough U18 vs Burnley U18
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Middlesbrough U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberts J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martin O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Burnley U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Okonkwo D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Blackie A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Middlesbrough U18 14 / 100
Burnley U18 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Middlesbrough U18 Burnley U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burnley U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burnley U18 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Middlesbrough U18 found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Middlesbrough U18 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Middlesbrough U18 VS Burnley U18
2 Goals Scored 2.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Middlesbrough U18

(Home)
12 Sept
Nottingham U18
0 : 1
Middlesbrough U18
05 Sept
Manchester United U18
5 : 0
Middlesbrough U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3
Derby U18
22 Aug
Liverpool U18
2 : 2
Middlesbrough U18
15 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
2 : 2
Leicester U18
Page 1 of 6

Burnley U18

(Away)
12 Sept
Liverpool U18
4 : 2
Burnley U18
05 Sept
Leeds U18
1 : 3
Burnley U18
29 Aug
Burnley U18
2 : 2
Sunderland U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4
Burnley U18
15 Aug
Burnley U18
0 : 1
Stoke City U18
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U18 26 19 3 4 96:39 60
2 Manchester United U18 26 18 2 6 65:24 56
3 Newcastle Utd U18 26 16 1 9 55:44 49
4 Everton U18 26 13 3 10 54:45 42
5 Nottingham U18 26 13 3 10 50:47 42
6 Sunderland U18 26 11 6 9 56:44 39
7 Middlesbrough U18 26 12 3 11 45:45 39
8 Liverpool U18 26 11 2 13 70:70 35
9 Blackburn U18 26 9 6 11 51:68 33
10 Derby U18 26 10 2 14 44:67 32
11 Burnley U18 26 9 3 14 49:68 30
12 Leeds U18 26 8 5 13 47:68 29
13 Wolves U18 26 5 5 16 29:55 20
14 Stoke City U18 26 5 2 19 42:69 17
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U18 28 21 4 3 88:24 67
2 Tottenham U18 28 16 6 6 70:36 54
3 Aston Villa U18 28 17 3 8 82:55 54
4 Brighton U18 28 14 7 7 63:41 49
5 Crystal Palace U18 28 14 4 10 74:52 46
6 West Brom U18 28 14 4 10 68:50 46
7 Southampton U18 28 13 3 12 65:61 42
8 West Ham U18 28 13 2 13 62:59 41
9 Leicester U18 28 10 6 12 46:53 36
10 Arsenal U18 28 9 6 13 46:57 33
11 Fulham U18 28 9 6 13 48:65 33
12 Norwich U18 28 6 8 14 47:67 26
13 Reading U18 28 6 8 14 38:66 26
14 Birmingham U18 28 6 3 19 29:88 21
15 Ipswich U18 28 6 2 20 41:93 20
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)