Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Middlesbrough U18 vs Liverpool U18

England England

Premier League U18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Sonni-Lambie J.
Assist: Farkas E.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League U18 2025/2026 game between Middlesbrough U18 and Liverpool U18 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liverpool U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Middlesbrough U18
30%
Draws
41%
Liverpool U18
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Liverpool U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Middlesbrough U18 have managed 1.66 goals a game lately — Liverpool U18 are scoring more at 2.62.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Liverpool U18 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Middlesbrough U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Liverpool U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Middlesbrough U18 Liverpool U18
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.66 2.62
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Premier League U18
Liverpool U18 vs Middlesbrough U18
2:2
May 2, 2026 Premier League U18
Liverpool U18 vs Middlesbrough U18
1:2
Feb 28, 2026 Premier League U18
Middlesbrough U18 vs Liverpool U18
0:1
Apr 23, 2025 Premier League U18
Middlesbrough U18 vs Liverpool U18
2:7
Aug 24, 2024 Premier League U18
Liverpool U18 vs Middlesbrough U18
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Middlesbrough U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Liverpool U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sonni-Lambie J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Middlesbrough U18 14 / 100
Liverpool U18 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Middlesbrough U18 Liverpool U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liverpool U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Liverpool U18 conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Middlesbrough U18 scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Middlesbrough U18 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Middlesbrough U18 VS Liverpool U18
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Middlesbrough U18

(Home)
12 Sept
Nottingham U18
0 : 1
Middlesbrough U18
05 Sept
Manchester United U18
5 : 0
Middlesbrough U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3
Derby U18
22 Aug
Liverpool U18
2 : 2
Middlesbrough U18
15 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
2 : 2
Leicester U18
Page 1 of 6

Liverpool U18

(Away)
12 Sept
Liverpool U18
4 : 2
Burnley U18
29 Aug
Wolves U18
2 : 4
Liverpool U18
22 Aug
Liverpool U18
2 : 2
Middlesbrough U18
15 Aug
Manchester City U18
2 : 1
Liverpool U18
08 May
Derby U18
4 : 3
Liverpool U18
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U18 26 19 3 4 96:39 60
2 Manchester United U18 26 18 2 6 65:24 56
3 Newcastle Utd U18 26 16 1 9 55:44 49
4 Everton U18 26 13 3 10 54:45 42
5 Nottingham U18 26 13 3 10 50:47 42
6 Sunderland U18 26 11 6 9 56:44 39
7 Middlesbrough U18 26 12 3 11 45:45 39
8 Liverpool U18 26 11 2 13 70:70 35
9 Blackburn U18 26 9 6 11 51:68 33
10 Derby U18 26 10 2 14 44:67 32
11 Burnley U18 26 9 3 14 49:68 30
12 Leeds U18 26 8 5 13 47:68 29
13 Wolves U18 26 5 5 16 29:55 20
14 Stoke City U18 26 5 2 19 42:69 17
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U18 28 21 4 3 88:24 67
2 Tottenham U18 28 16 6 6 70:36 54
3 Aston Villa U18 28 17 3 8 82:55 54
4 Brighton U18 28 14 7 7 63:41 49
5 Crystal Palace U18 28 14 4 10 74:52 46
6 West Brom U18 28 14 4 10 68:50 46
7 Southampton U18 28 13 3 12 65:61 42
8 West Ham U18 28 13 2 13 62:59 41
9 Leicester U18 28 10 6 12 46:53 36
10 Arsenal U18 28 9 6 13 46:57 33
11 Fulham U18 28 9 6 13 48:65 33
12 Norwich U18 28 6 8 14 47:67 26
13 Reading U18 28 6 8 14 38:66 26
14 Birmingham U18 28 6 3 19 29:88 21
15 Ipswich U18 28 6 2 20 41:93 20
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)