Sport Picks
Middlesbrough U21 vs Nottingham U21
England
Premier League 2 2025/2026 Heritage Park, Bishop Auckland 
Match Events
14'
14'
da Silva Moreira E.
18'
18'
Samuels O.
34'
34'
Daley J.
Assist: James D.
AI Match Summary
Middlesbrough U21 in this Premier League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Middlesbrough U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nottingham U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Nottingham U21 have won more games recently than Middlesbrough U21.
- Model gives Middlesbrough U21 a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Middlesbrough U21 Clean Sheet 18%
Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Middlesbrough U21 | Nottingham U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 17 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 16, 2026 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U21 vs Nottingham U21
1:0
Nov 2, 2024 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U21 vs Nottingham U21
1:4
Aug 14, 2023 Premier League 2
Nottingham U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
2:2
Apr 14, 2023 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U21 vs Nottingham U21
0:1
Aug 22, 2022 Premier League 2
Nottingham U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Middlesbrough U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Daley J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Nottingham U21 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Middlesbrough U21 85 / 100
Nottingham U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Middlesbrough U21 Nottingham U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Middlesbrough U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Middlesbrough U21's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Middlesbrough U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Nottingham U21 conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Middlesbrough U21 VS Nottingham U21
2.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Middlesbrough U21
(Home) 11 Aug
Hartlepool
0 : 10 Middlesbrough U21
25 Apr
Chelsea U21
1 : 0 Middlesbrough U21
10 Apr
Aston Villa U21
0 : 2 Middlesbrough U21
20 Mar
Derby U21
1 : 0 Middlesbrough U21
13 Mar
Middlesbrough U21
6 : 1 Stoke City U21
Page 1 of 6
13 Mar
Middlesbrough U21
6 : 1 Stoke City U21
02 Mar
Middlesbrough U21
1 : 4 Birmingham U21
16 Feb
Middlesbrough U21
1 : 0 Nottingham U21
02 Feb
Middlesbrough U21
3 : 3 West Ham U21
18 Jan
Middlesbrough U21
6 : 1 Ipswich U21
Page 1 of 3
Nottingham U21
(Away) 14 Aug
Nottingham U21
2 : 0 Luton U21
11 May
Nottingham U21
1 : 2 Norwich U21
04 May
Peterborough U21
0 : 1 Nottingham U21
27 Apr
Nottingham U21
3 : 2 Charlton U21
03 Apr
Nottingham U21
2 : 0 Crystal Palace U21
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Peterborough U21
0 : 1 Nottingham U21
13 Mar
Fulham U21
1 : 2 Nottingham U21
27 Feb
Manchester City U21
3 : 0 Nottingham U21
16 Feb
Middlesbrough U21
1 : 0 Nottingham U21
30 Jan
Derby U21
0 : 0 Nottingham U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U21 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 52:25 | 43 |
| 2 | Manchester United U21 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 43:26 | 43 |
| 3 | Manchester City U21 | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 59:21 | 40 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 48:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Ipswich U21 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 45:45 | 38 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 36:29 | 36 |
| 7 | Liverpool U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 49:36 | 35 |
| 8 | Tottenham U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 42:32 | 35 |
| 9 | Leicester U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 48:42 | 31 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 36:31 | 31 |
| 11 | Aston Villa U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32:35 | 31 |
| 12 | Brighton U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38:25 | 30 |
| 13 | West Ham U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 44:35 | 30 |
| 14 | Arsenal U21 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 15 | Sunderland U21 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 41:40 | 28 |
| 16 | Middlesbrough U21 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 37:28 | 27 |
| 17 | Nottingham U21 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 23:23 | 26 |
| 18 | Everton U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:36 | 25 |
| 19 | Reading U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:36 | 25 |
| 20 | Stoke City U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:42 | 25 |
| 21 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 30:35 | 24 |
| 22 | Wolves U21 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 30:45 | 23 |
| 23 | Norwich U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 32:42 | 20 |
| 24 | Derby U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26:44 | 20 |
| 25 | Leeds U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 28:40 | 18 |
| 26 | West Brom U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 26:41 | 18 |
| 27 | Birmingham U21 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 26:52 | 17 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 27:46 | 14 |
| 29 | Burnley U21 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 22:42 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Professional Development League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
