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Middlesbrough U23 vs Arsenal U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022
Wed, Mar 9, 2022
2 - 1
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Walker S.
89' Event
Hutchinson O.
(Penalty)
1' Event
Gibson J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Middlesbrough U23 in this Premier League Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Middlesbrough U23
35%
Draws
35%
Arsenal U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Middlesbrough U23 haven't matched Arsenal U23's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Arsenal U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Middlesbrough U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Middlesbrough U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Arsenal U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Middlesbrough U23 Arsenal U23
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 9 11
Draws 3 13
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.94
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2022 Premier League Cup
Middlesbrough U23 vs Arsenal U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Middlesbrough U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Walker S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Arsenal U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Middlesbrough U23 31 / 100
Arsenal U23 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Middlesbrough U23 Arsenal U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Arsenal U23 conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

Middlesbrough U23 found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Middlesbrough U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Middlesbrough U23 VS Arsenal U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Middlesbrough U23

(Home)
20 Jul
Whitby
2 : 2
Middlesbrough U23
04 May
Wolves U23
3 : 2
Middlesbrough U23
01 May
Middlesbrough U23
2 : 1
Reading U23
22 Apr
Nottingham U23
1 : 1
Middlesbrough U23
15 Apr
Middlesbrough U23
0 : 3
Wolves U23
Page 1 of 7

Arsenal U23

(Away)
01 Aug
St. Albans
0 : 1
Arsenal U23
15 Jul
Hendon
1 : 1
Arsenal U23
05 Jul
Woking
3 : 2
Arsenal U23
29 Apr
Arsenal U23
1 : 1
Leeds U23
22 Apr
Manchester United U23
1 : 1
Arsenal U23
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Derby U23 4
Sheffield Utd U23 3
West Brom U23 4
QPR U23 2
West Ham U23 5
Leeds U23 1
Fulham U23 2
Newcastle Utd U23 0
Peterborough U23 6
Charlton U23 2
Wigan U23 0
Wolves U23 1
Huddersfield U23 1
Stoke City U23 3
Middlesbrough U23 2
Arsenal U23 1
Quarter-finals
Derby U23 3
West Brom U23 4
West Ham U23 0
Fulham U23 1
Peterborough U23 0
Wolves U23 1
Stoke City U23 1
Middlesbrough U23 2
Semi-finals
West Brom U23 2
Fulham U23 1
Wolves U23 3
Middlesbrough U23 2
Final
West Brom U23 3
Wolves U23 2