Sport Picks
Middlesbrough U23 vs Burnley U23
England
Premier League 2 2021/2022 Heritage Park, Bishop Auckland 
Match Events
8'
8'
Costelloe D.
16'
16'
Costelloe D.
Assist: Mancini A.
19'
19'
Kavanagh C.
AI Match Summary
Burnley U23 in this Premier League 2 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Burnley U23.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Burnley U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Burnley U23 lately — more wins on the board than Middlesbrough U23.
- Model gives Burnley U23 a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular Premier League 2 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Middlesbrough U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Burnley U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Middlesbrough U23 | Burnley U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 19, 2021 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U23 vs Burnley U23
0:3
Oct 22, 2021 Premier League 2
Burnley U23 vs Middlesbrough U23
2:0
Feb 22, 2021 Premier League 2
Burnley U23 vs Middlesbrough U23
3:2
Oct 23, 2020 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U23 vs Burnley U23
3:0
Jan 20, 2020 Premier League Cup
Burnley U23 vs Middlesbrough U23
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Middlesbrough U23 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Burnley U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Costelloe D.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Middlesbrough U23 18 / 100
Burnley U23 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Middlesbrough U23 Burnley U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Burnley U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Burnley U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Middlesbrough U23 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Middlesbrough U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Middlesbrough U23 VS Burnley U23
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Middlesbrough U23
(Home) 20 Jul
Whitby
2 : 2 Middlesbrough U23
04 May
Wolves U23
3 : 2 Middlesbrough U23
01 May
Middlesbrough U23
2 : 1 Reading U23
22 Apr
Nottingham U23
1 : 1 Middlesbrough U23
15 Apr
Middlesbrough U23
0 : 3 Wolves U23
Page 1 of 6
01 May
Middlesbrough U23
2 : 1 Reading U23
15 Apr
Middlesbrough U23
0 : 3 Wolves U23
01 Apr
Middlesbrough U23
4 : 2 Newcastle Utd U23
18 Mar
Middlesbrough U23
0 : 0 Fulham U23
09 Mar
Middlesbrough U23
2 : 1 Arsenal U23
Page 1 of 3
Burnley U23
(Away) 29 Apr
Fulham U23
5 : 3 Burnley U23
25 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1 Aston Villa U23
22 Apr
Stoke City U23
0 : 0 Burnley U23
15 Apr
Burnley U23
3 : 2 West Brom U23
08 Apr
Burnley U23
5 : 1 Newcastle Utd U23
Page 1 of 6
29 Apr
Fulham U23
5 : 3 Burnley U23
22 Apr
Stoke City U23
0 : 0 Burnley U23
21 Mar
Sunderland U23
0 : 2 Burnley U23
14 Mar
Reading U23
2 : 1 Burnley U23
24 Feb
Peterborough U23
5 : 2 Burnley U23
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U23 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 65:32 | 54 |
| 2 | West Ham U23 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 59:39 | 48 |
| 3 | Arsenal U23 | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 56:48 | 41 |
| 4 | Liverpool U23 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 47:37 | 40 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 54:50 | 39 |
| 6 | Manchester United U23 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 46:43 | 39 |
| 7 | Tottenham U23 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 49:45 | 37 |
| 8 | Leicester U23 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:53 | 37 |
| 9 | Blackburn U23 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 50:56 | 35 |
| 10 | Brighton U23 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 41:41 | 34 |
| 11 | Everton U23 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 33:54 | 29 |
| 12 | Chelsea U23 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 39:47 | 28 |
| 13 | Leeds U23 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 44:49 | 27 |
| 14 | Derby U23 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 31:58 | 15 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fulham U23 | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 64:27 | 62 |
| 2 | Wolves U23 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 46:37 | 47 |
| 3 | Stoke City U23 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 34:36 | 43 |
| 4 | Nottingham U23 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 52:31 | 42 |
| 5 | Norwich U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 64:52 | 39 |
| 6 | Burnley U23 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 46:39 | 39 |
| 7 | Southampton U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 45:42 | 39 |
| 8 | Newcastle Utd U23 | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 51:56 | 38 |
| 9 | West Brom U23 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 44:54 | 35 |
| 10 | Aston Villa U23 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 53:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Birmingham U23 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 34:51 | 26 |
| 12 | Middlesbrough U23 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 31:50 | 26 |
| 13 | Sunderland U23 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 35:49 | 24 |
| 14 | Reading U23 | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 32:56 | 23 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)
