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Middlesbrough W vs Burnley W

England England

Women's National League North 2021/2022 Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
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AI Match Summary

The Women's National League North 2021/2022 game between Middlesbrough W and Burnley W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burnley W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Middlesbrough W
30%
Draws
23%
Burnley W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Middlesbrough W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Burnley W come out ahead of Middlesbrough W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Middlesbrough W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Burnley W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Middlesbrough W Clean Sheet 15%
Burnley W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Middlesbrough W Burnley W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 22
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.41 2.86
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2025 Women's National League North
Middlesbrough W vs Burnley W
1:3
Aug 17, 2025 Women's National League North
Burnley W vs Middlesbrough W
5:0
May 8, 2022 Women's National League North
Burnley W vs Middlesbrough W
6:1
Jan 9, 2022 Women's National League North
Middlesbrough W vs Burnley W
1:3
Oct 4, 2020 Women's National League North
Middlesbrough W vs Burnley W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Middlesbrough W 48 / 100
Burnley W 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Middlesbrough W Burnley W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Middlesbrough W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Middlesbrough W scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Burnley W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Burnley W let in goals in 28% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Middlesbrough W VS Burnley W
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Middlesbrough W

(Home)
13 Sept
Middlesbrough W
0 : 2
Rugby Borough W
30 Aug
Derby W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
23 Aug
Middlesbrough W
1 : 0
West Brom W
16 Aug
Boldmere St Michaels W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
26 Apr
Middlesbrough W
0 : 0
West Brom W
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Burnley W

(Away)
18 Sept
Wolverhampton W
3 : 0
Burnley W
13 Sept
Burnley W
1 : 2
Sunderland W
04 Sept
Watford W
0 : 0
Burnley W
30 Aug
Newcastle Utd W
3 : 1
Burnley W
29 Jul
Valencia W
0 : 0
Burnley W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolverhampton W 24 18 5 1 61:16 59
2 Derby W 24 16 3 5 48:19 51
3 AFC Fylde W 24 14 5 5 47:28 47
4 Burnley W 24 14 4 6 70:27 46
5 Nottingham W 24 13 5 6 40:17 44
6 Huddersfield W 24 13 4 7 54:28 43
7 Brighouse Town W 24 11 7 6 51:31 40
8 West Brom W 24 7 7 10 29:44 28
9 Stoke City LFC W 24 8 1 15 36:54 25
10 Loughborough Lightning W 24 6 5 13 35:63 23
11 Middlesbrough W 24 5 3 16 27:67 18
12 Hull City W 24 2 3 19 18:72 9
13 Sheffield FC W 24 2 2 20 13:63 8
Promotion - Women's National League 2021/2022 (Main)