Sport Picks

Middlesbrough W vs Northampton W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

Women’s FA Cup 2025/2026 Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough W

3 - 0

Northampton W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Middlesbrough W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Middlesbrough W

15%

Draws

42%

Northampton W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Middlesbrough W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Middlesbrough W come out ahead of Northampton W on wins alone.
Win probability leans Middlesbrough W's way, sitting at 80%.
Middlesbrough W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Middlesbrough W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

Middlesbrough W Clean Sheet 17%

Northampton W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Middlesbrough W	Northampton W
Matches Played	29	9
Wins	11	4
Draws	6	0
Losses	12	5
Goals Scored	1.38	2
Goals Conceded	1.17	3.11
Expected Goals (xG)	1.48	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 Women’s FA Cup

Middlesbrough W vs Northampton W

3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Middlesbrough W 75 / 100

Northampton W 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Middlesbrough W Northampton W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Middlesbrough W Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northampton W has conceded goals in 100% of their last 9 outings.

Attacking prowess: Middlesbrough W scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Northampton W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Middlesbrough W VS -

1.75 Goals Scored 0

1.75 Goals Conceded 0

100% Over 1.5 0%

88% Over 2.5 0%

50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Middlesbrough W

(Home)

04 Oct

Middlesbrough W

0 : 1

Peterborough W

20 Sept

Liverpool Feds W

1 : 0

Middlesbrough W

13 Sept

Middlesbrough W

0 : 2

Rugby Borough W

30 Aug

Derby W

1 : 0

Middlesbrough W

23 Aug

Middlesbrough W

1 : 0

West Brom W

Page 1 of 6

Northampton W

(Away)

23 Nov

Middlesbrough W

3 : 0

Northampton W

26 Oct

Northampton W

3 : 2

Sudbury W

03 Nov

Shrewsbury W

3 : 2

Northampton W

12 Nov

Northampton W

0 : 6

Ipswich W

27 Nov

Wolverhampton W

5 : 0

Northampton W

Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Hashtag W 1

Oxford Utd W 2

Luton W 3

Mansfield W 0

Plymouth W 7

Maidstone W 0

Winchester City W 0

Gwalia United W 4

Middlesbrough W 4

Cheadle Town W 0

Northampton W 3

Sudbury W 2

South Shields W 0

AFC Fylde W 5

Kidderminster W 1

Redditch Borough FC W 0

Charlton W -

TBD -

Actonians W 0

Watford W 5

Saltdean United W 1

Bromley W 0

Leafield Athletic W 8

Crusaders W 0

Port Vale W 1

Worcester W 2

Oxford City W 4

Sherborne Town W 2

Swindon W 1

Dulwich Hamlet W 0

Dartford W 5

Forest Green W 1

Keynsham Town W 1

Bournemouth Sports W 0

London Bees W 5

Barking W 3

Portishead Town W 1

Billericay W 0

TBD -

Liverpool W -

Huddersfield W 4

Wythenshawe FC W 2

Leeds W 5

St Helens W 1

Solihull Moors W 0

West Brom W 3

Nottingham University W 1

Cambridge Utd W 2

TBD -

Everton W -

Mancunian Unity W 3

International Soccer Academy W 2

Durham Cestria W 6

Dronfield Town W 1

Lincoln Utd. W 1

Stourbridge W 3

Halifax W 1

Hull City W 4

Birmingham W -

TBD -

Sporting Khalsa W 2

Loughborough Lightning W 1

Hednesford W 2

SJR Worksop W 1

Bowers & Pitsea W 3

Wimborne W 2

Brentford W 1

Sutton W 2

Torquay W 0

Exeter W 6

AFC Wimbledon W 3

Chatham W 4

Bolton W 1

Ponteland United W 2

Penrith W 2

Altrincham W 3

York City W 1

Leeds Modernians W 0

Wroxham W 3

Lye Town W 0

Farnham W 0

Leyton Orient W 8

Millbrook W 0

Bournemouth W 11

Haringey Borough W 0

Bristol Rovers W 3

Fulham W 5

South London W 0

TBD -

Manchester City W -

Portchester W 6

Gloucester City W 2

Worthing FC W 4

Abingdon W 1

TBD -

Ipswich W -

Durham W -

TBD -

Sheffield Utd W -

Chelsea W -

TBD -

Millwall W 0

Cheltenham W 2

Lewes W 4

Corsham Town W 0

TBD -

Crystal Palace W -

Manchester United W -

TBD -

Burnley W 12

Blackburn W 0

Stevenage W 3

Norwich W 4

Peterborough W 4

Real Bedford W 1

Manchester Laces W 1

Wallsend W 3

Coventry Sphinx W 0

Derby W 6

Stockport W 3

Tranmere W 0

TBD -

Sunderland W -

TBD -

London City Lionesses W -

Tottenham W -

TBD -

Leicester W -

Arsenal W -

TBD -

Aston Villa W -

Southampton FC W -

TBD -

Wycombe W 1

Bridgwater United W 2

Royston Town W 1

Coundon Court W 0

Bristol City W -

TBD -

Portsmouth W -

Newcastle Utd W -

TBD -

Liverpool Feds W 4

Chester-Le-Street Town W 0

Crewe W 1

Boldmere St Michaels W 2

TBD -

West Ham W -

Brighton W -

TBD -

Wolverhampton W 2

Rugby Borough W 1

Stoke City LFC W 7

Sutton Coldfield Town W 0

TBD -

Nottingham W -

1/64-finals

Oxford Utd W 3

Luton W 1

Plymouth W 2

Gwalia United W 0

Middlesbrough W 3

Northampton W 0

AFC Fylde W 4

Kidderminster W 0

Charlton W -

TBD -

Watford W 4

Saltdean United W 0

Leafield Athletic W 2

Worcester W 1

Oxford City W 0

Swindon W 3

Dartford W 2

Keynsham Town W 1

London Bees W 5

Portishead Town W 0

TBD -

Liverpool W -

Huddersfield W 1

Leeds W 3

West Brom W 2

Cambridge Utd W 0

TBD -

Everton W -

Mancunian Unity W 2

Durham Cestria W 1

Stourbridge W 1

Hull City W 7

Birmingham W -

TBD -

Sporting Khalsa W 2

Hednesford W 0

Bowers & Pitsea W 2

Sutton W 3

Exeter W 2

Chatham W 3

Ponteland United W 0

Altrincham W 1

York City W 3

Wroxham W 1

Leyton Orient W 1

Bournemouth W 7

Bristol Rovers W 1

Fulham W 3

TBD -

Manchester City W -

Portchester W 4

Worthing FC W 1

TBD -

Ipswich W -

Durham W -

TBD -

Sheffield Utd W -

Chelsea W -

TBD -

Cheltenham W 0

Lewes W 4

TBD -

Crystal Palace W -

Manchester United W -

TBD -

Burnley W 4

Norwich W 0

Peterborough W 4

Wallsend W 0

Derby W 4

Stockport W 1

TBD -

Sunderland W -

TBD -

London City Lionesses W -

Tottenham W -

TBD -

Leicester W -

Arsenal W -

TBD -

Aston Villa W -

Southampton FC W -

TBD -

Bridgwater United W 1

Royston Town W 2

Bristol City W -

TBD -

Portsmouth W -

Newcastle Utd W -

TBD -

Liverpool Feds W 5

Boldmere St Michaels W 0

TBD -

West Ham W -

Brighton W -

TBD -

Wolverhampton W 2

Stoke City LFC W 0

TBD -

Nottingham W -

1/32-finals

Oxford Utd W 2

Plymouth W 1

Middlesbrough W 3

AFC Fylde W 0

Charlton W 3

Watford W 2

Leafield Athletic W 2

Swindon W 3

Dartford W 2

London Bees W 3

TBD -

Liverpool W -

Leeds W 0

West Brom W 3

TBD -

Everton W -

Mancunian Unity W 1

Hull City W 2

Birmingham W 6

Sporting Khalsa W 0

Sutton W 0

Chatham W 3

Altrincham W 0

York City W 3

Bournemouth W 5

Fulham W 0

TBD -

Manchester City W -

Portchester W 0

Ipswich W 5

Durham W 0

Sheffield Utd W 1

Chelsea W -

TBD -

Lewes W 0

Crystal Palace W 1

Manchester United W -

TBD -

Burnley W 7

Peterborough W 0

Derby W 1

Sunderland W 5

TBD -

London City Lionesses W -

Tottenham W -

TBD -

Leicester W -

Arsenal W -

TBD -

Aston Villa W -

Southampton FC W 10

Royston Town W 0

Bristol City W 2

Portsmouth W 0

Newcastle Utd W 4

Liverpool Feds W 0

TBD -

West Ham W -

Brighton W -

TBD -

Wolverhampton W 1

Nottingham W 2

1/16-finals

Oxford Utd W 3

Middlesbrough W 1

Charlton W 10

Swindon W 0

London Bees W 0

Liverpool W 6

West Brom W 0

Everton W 5

Hull City W 2

Birmingham W 6

Chatham W 3

York City W 0

Bournemouth W 0

Manchester City W 6

Ipswich W 1

Sheffield Utd W 2

Chelsea W 5

Crystal Palace W 0

Manchester United W 5

Burnley W 0

Sunderland W 0

London City Lionesses W 1

Tottenham W 3

Leicester W 0

Arsenal W 2

Aston Villa W 0

Southampton FC W 1

Bristol City W 2

Newcastle Utd W 0

West Ham W 3

Brighton W 2

Nottingham W 0

1/8-finals

Oxford Utd W 0

Charlton W 1

Liverpool W 2

Everton W 1

Birmingham W 8

Chatham W 0

Manchester City W 4

Sheffield Utd W 0

Chelsea W 2

Manchester United W 1

London City Lionesses W 2

Tottenham W 3

Arsenal W 3

Bristol City W 0

West Ham W 1

Brighton W 2

Quarter-finals

Charlton W 0

Liverpool W 1

Arsenal W 0

Brighton W 2

Chelsea W 2

Tottenham W 1

Birmingham W 0

Manchester City W 1

Semi-finals

Liverpool W 2

Brighton W 3

Chelsea W 2

Manchester City W 3

Final

Brighton W 0

Manchester City W 4

Middlesbrough W vs Northampton W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

Middlesbrough W

Northampton W

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Middlesbrough W

Northampton W

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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