Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Midtjylland vs Horsens

Denmark Denmark

Superliga MCH Arena, Herning
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Midtjylland host Horsens in the Superliga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Midtjylland at 2.5 goals for, 1.13 against; Horsens at 1.13 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Midtjylland slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 14, 2023, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.75 - 1.13) back Midtjylland to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Midtjylland
6%
Draws
4%
Horsens
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Midtjylland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Midtjylland lately — more wins on the board than Horsens.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Midtjylland taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Midtjylland here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Midtjylland Clean Sheet 20%
Horsens Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Midtjylland Horsens
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 17 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2023 Superliga
Midtjylland vs Horsens
3:1
Apr 23, 2023 Superliga
Horsens vs Midtjylland
0:2
Oct 16, 2022 Superliga
Midtjylland vs Horsens
2:1
Aug 12, 2022 Superliga
Horsens vs Midtjylland
3:3
Feb 14, 2021 Superliga
Midtjylland vs Horsens
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Midtjylland 85 / 100
Horsens 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Midtjylland Horsens

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MID Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Midtjylland found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Midtjylland went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Horsens lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Midtjylland VS Horsens
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Midtjylland

(Home)
26 Jul
Sonderjyske
2 : 3
Midtjylland
23 Jul
Besiktas
1 : 0
Midtjylland
17 Jul
Midtjylland
4 : 1
Odense
11 Jul
Cardiff
0 : 6
Midtjylland
04 Jul
Midtjylland
4 : 2
Silkeborg
Page 1 of 7

Horsens

(Away)
26 Jul
Horsens
1 : 1
Nordsjaelland
18 Jul
Vendsyssel FF
1 : 0
Horsens
15 Jul
Aarhus
2 : 0
Horsens
11 Jul
FC Copenhagen
3 : 2
Horsens
04 Jul
Horsens
2 : 0
Hobro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Copenhagen11003:23
2Midtjylland11003:23
3Viborg11001:03
4Silkeborg10101:11
5Aarhus10101:11
6Brondby10101:11
7Horsens10101:11
8Nordsjaelland10101:11
9Randers FC10101:11
10Sonderjyske10012:30
11Lyngby10012:30
12Odense10010:10
Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Superliga (Relegation Group)