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Midtjylland vs Randers FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

Superliga MCH Arena, Herning
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Osorio D.
40'
Jensen M.
46'
Sub
Storch J. In: Izzo P.
Out: Storch J.

AI Match Summary

The Superliga game between Midtjylland and Randers FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Midtjylland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Midtjylland
20%
Draws
28%
Randers FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Midtjylland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Midtjylland carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Midtjylland's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Superliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Midtjylland here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Midtjylland Clean Sheet 19%
Randers FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Midtjylland Randers FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 2.21 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Superliga
Midtjylland vs Randers FC
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Superliga
Randers FC vs Midtjylland
0:2
Sep 29, 2025 Superliga
Midtjylland vs Randers FC
2:1
Jul 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Midtjylland vs Randers FC
2:3
May 25, 2025 Superliga
Midtjylland vs Randers FC
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Midtjylland Compare

Top Goalscorer Osorio D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Randers FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Midtjylland 85 / 100
Randers FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Midtjylland Randers FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Midtjylland Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Midtjylland scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Randers FC let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Midtjylland remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Midtjylland VS Randers FC
2.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Midtjylland

(Home)
19 Sept
Odense
1 : 1
Midtjylland
14 Sept
Midtjylland
4 : 1
Brondby
10 Sept
Sundby
0 : 7
Midtjylland
07 Sept
Midtjylland
2 : 2
Nordsjaelland
02 Sept
Aarhus
0 : 2
Midtjylland
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Randers FC

(Away)
02 Oct
Randers FC
0 : 1
Aalborg
20 Sept
Sonderjyske
4 : 2
Randers FC
16 Sept
Vendsyssel FF
1 : 3
Randers FC
13 Sept
Randers FC
1 : 2
Odense
06 Sept
Brondby
0 : 3
Randers FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Copenhagen 9 8 0 1 23:8 24
2 Midtjylland 9 5 4 0 17:9 19
3 Viborg 9 5 2 2 15:8 17
4 Nordsjaelland 9 5 2 2 14:10 17
5 Brondby 9 4 1 4 12:15 13
6 Horsens 9 3 2 4 15:16 11
7 Silkeborg 9 2 4 3 12:12 10
8 Randers FC 9 3 1 5 11:14 10
9 Odense 9 2 3 4 8:14 9
10 Lyngby 9 1 4 4 10:16 7
11 Aarhus 9 0 5 4 11:17 5
12 Sonderjyske 9 1 2 6 12:21 5
Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Superliga (Relegation Group)