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Midwest United vs Union FC Macomb

USA USA

USL League Two
Thu, Jul 9, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Midwest United play Union FC Macomb in the USL League Two. It looks like a close match. Recently, Midwest United averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Union FC Macomb averaged 1.66 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. In past meetings, Midwest United won 3, Union FC Macomb won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 9, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.81 for Midwest United and 1.44 for Union FC Macomb. This points to a Midwest United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Midwest United
15%
Draws
32%
Union FC Macomb
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Midwest United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Midwest United picked up more points recently compared to Union FC Macomb.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.81 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Midwest United Clean Sheet 16%
Union FC Macomb Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Midwest United Union FC Macomb
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 2 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 2.07 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2026 USL League Two
Midwest United vs Union FC Macomb
0:0
Jun 3, 2026 USL League Two
Union FC Macomb vs Midwest United
0:4
Jun 14, 2025 USL League Two
Union FC Macomb vs Midwest United
1:3
May 7, 2025 USL League Two
Midwest United vs Union FC Macomb
0:2
Jun 1, 2024 USL League Two
Union FC Macomb vs Midwest United
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Midwest United 51 / 100
Union FC Macomb 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Midwest United Union FC Macomb

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Midwest United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Midwest United & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Midwest United attacking → ← attacking Union FC Macomb

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Midwest United scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Union FC Macomb let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Midwest United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Union FC Macomb lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 32
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.38