Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mighty Barrolle vs BEA Mountain

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division 2024/2025 Doris Williams Stadium, Buchanan
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
57' Event
60' Event
Davies A.

AI Match Summary

The LFA First Division 2024/2025 game between Mighty Barrolle and BEA Mountain finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BEA Mountain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Mighty Barrolle
15%
Draws
61%
BEA Mountain
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BEA Mountain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • BEA Mountain carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans BEA Mountain's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Mighty Barrolle Clean Sheet 15%
BEA Mountain Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mighty Barrolle BEA Mountain
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 11 19
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.6 2.14
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2025 LFA First Division
BEA Mountain vs Mighty Barrolle
1:2
Nov 27, 2024 LFA First Division
Mighty Barrolle vs BEA Mountain
2:3
Mar 16, 2024 LFA First Division
BEA Mountain vs Mighty Barrolle
0:0
Dec 14, 2023 LFA First Division
Mighty Barrolle vs BEA Mountain
1:2
Mar 19, 2023 LFA First Division
Mighty Barrolle vs BEA Mountain
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mighty Barrolle Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

BEA Mountain Compare

Top Goalscorer Dumbuya I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Davies A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mighty Barrolle 10 / 100
BEA Mountain 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mighty Barrolle BEA Mountain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEA Mountain Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mighty Barrolle scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

BEA Mountain has conceded goals in 61% of their last 36 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Mighty Barrolle went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS BEA Mountain
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mighty Barrolle

(Home)
20 Apr
Discoveries
1 : 2
Mighty Barrolle
17 Apr
Mighty Barrolle
0 : 2
Black Man Warrior
10 Apr
BEA Mountain
1 : 2
Mighty Barrolle
06 Apr
Mighty Barrolle
2 : 3
Global Pharma
28 Mar
Mighty Barrolle
0 : 5
Shaita
Page 1 of 6

BEA Mountain

(Away)
15 Aug
Discoveries
1 : 4
BEA Mountain
24 May
Discoveries
1 : 2
BEA Mountain
18 May
BEA Mountain
4 : 0
Borough FC
05 May
BEA Mountain
3 : 1
Liberia Registry
13 Apr
BEA Mountain
4 : 1
Downtown
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Fassell 26 17 5 4 57:21 56
2 Heaven Eleven 26 13 6 7 47:26 45
3 Watanga 26 10 10 6 33:24 40
4 Discoveries 26 11 6 9 47:38 39
5 BEA Mountain 26 10 7 9 50:45 37
6 Global Pharma 26 11 3 12 40:47 36
7 LPRC Oiler 26 9 8 9 31:30 35
8 Paynesville 26 10 5 11 33:40 35
9 Black Man Warrior 26 8 9 9 36:38 33
10 Liberia Registry 26 9 5 12 42:44 32
11 Freeport 26 8 7 11 37:51 31
12 Mighty Barrolle 26 8 5 13 38:65 29
13 Shaita 26 6 9 11 40:47 27
14 Invincible Eleven 26 5 9 12 29:44 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)