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Mighty Wanderers FC vs Civo Utd

Malawi Malawi

Super League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mighty Wanderers FC play Civo Utd in the Super League 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mighty Wanderers FC averaged 1.66 goals scored and 0.59 conceded. Civo Utd averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. In past meetings, Mighty Wanderers FC won 3, Civo Utd won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Dec 14, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Mighty Wanderers FC and 1.06 for Civo Utd. This points to a Mighty Wanderers FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Mighty Wanderers FC
25%
Draws
32%
Civo Utd
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Mighty Wanderers FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Mighty Wanderers FC picked up more points recently compared to Civo Utd.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Mighty Wanderers FC Clean Sheet 22%
Civo Utd Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 52%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mighty Wanderers FC Civo Utd
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 14
Draws 10 7
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.66 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.59 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2025 Super League
Mighty Wanderers FC vs Civo Utd
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 Super League
Civo Utd vs Mighty Wanderers FC
0:0
Aug 23, 2024 Super League
Civo Utd vs Mighty Wanderers FC
0:1
Jun 23, 2024 Super League
Mighty Wanderers FC vs Civo Utd
3:0
Dec 3, 2023 Super League
Civo Utd vs Mighty Wanderers FC
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mighty Wanderers FC 43 / 100
Civo Utd 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mighty Wanderers FC Civo Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mighty Wanderers FC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mighty Wanderers FC attacking → ← attacking Civo Utd

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mighty Wanderers FC scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Civo Utd let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Mighty Wanderers FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Civo Utd lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

64 Points in last 5 49
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mighty Wanderers FC30209151:1469
2Big Bullets30213660:2066
3Silver Strikers301810250:1864
4Blue Eagles30139838:3048
5Civo Utd30138939:2147
6Karonga United301351231:2844
7Ekhaya301331436:2842
8Creck Sporting301191025:2742
9Moyale Barracks3010101028:4040
10Kamuzu Barracks301161331:3539
11Chitipa United309101123:3037
12Dedza Dynamos30881424:3332
13MAFCO30871529:3731
14Mzuzu City30771626:4928
15Mighty Tigers30691521:3527
16Songwe Border30132610:776