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Mighty Wanderers FC vs Karonga United

Malawi Malawi

Super League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Kamwendo P.
29' Event
Chirwa G.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025 game between Mighty Wanderers FC and Karonga United finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mighty Wanderers FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mighty Wanderers FC
6%
Draws
4%
Karonga United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mighty Wanderers FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Karonga United haven't matched Mighty Wanderers FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mighty Wanderers FC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Mighty Wanderers FC Clean Sheet 20%
Karonga United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mighty Wanderers FC Karonga United
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 18 10
Draws 10 6
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Super League
Mighty Wanderers FC vs Karonga United
4:1
Dec 11, 2025 Super League
Mighty Wanderers FC vs Karonga United
2:0
Jun 29, 2025 Super League
Karonga United vs Mighty Wanderers FC
1:1
Oct 20, 2024 Super League
Karonga United vs Mighty Wanderers FC
1:0
May 11, 2024 Super League
Mighty Wanderers FC vs Karonga United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mighty Wanderers FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamwendo P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chirwa G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Karonga United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mighty Wanderers FC 85 / 100
Karonga United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mighty Wanderers FC Karonga United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mighty Wanderers FC scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Mighty Wanderers FC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Karonga United conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mighty Wanderers FC VS Karonga United
2 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mighty Wanderers FC

(Home)
18 Jul
Civo Utd
0 : 2
Mighty Wanderers FC
05 Jul
Mighty Wanderers FC
3 : 0
MAFCO
28 Jun
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 1
Mighty Wanderers FC
20 Jun
Mighty Wanderers FC
1 : 1
Ekhaya
31 May
Chitipa United
0 : 4
Mighty Wanderers FC
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Karonga United

(Away)
19 Jul
Silver Strikers
4 : 1
Karonga United
04 Jul
Karonga United
1 : 3
Dedza Dynamos
28 Jun
Karonga United
0 : 0
Moyale Barracks
21 Jun
Blue Eagles
3 : 2
Karonga United
31 May
Karonga United
1 : 0
Red Lions
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mighty Wanderers FC30209151:1469
2Big Bullets30213660:2066
3Silver Strikers301810250:1864
4Blue Eagles30139838:3048
5Civo Utd30138939:2147
6Karonga United301351231:2844
7Ekhaya301331436:2842
8Creck Sporting301191025:2742
9Moyale Barracks3010101028:4040
10Kamuzu Barracks301161331:3539
11Chitipa United309101123:3037
12Dedza Dynamos30881424:3332
13MAFCO30871529:3731
14Mzuzu City30771626:4928
15Mighty Tigers30691521:3527
16Songwe Border30132610:776
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