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Migjorn vs Binissalem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Sidibe A.

AI Match Summary

Migjorn in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Migjorn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Migjorn
15%
Draws
42%
Binissalem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Migjorn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Binissalem lately — more wins on the board than Migjorn.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Binissalem here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Migjorn Clean Sheet 16%
Binissalem Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Migjorn Binissalem
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 3 13
Draws 3 9
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 0.69 1
Goals Conceded 2.62 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Migjorn vs Binissalem
1:0
May 3, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Migjorn
2:0
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Migjorn vs Binissalem
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Migjorn Compare

Top Goalscorer Sidibe A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48

Binissalem Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Migjorn 31 / 100
Binissalem 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Migjorn Binissalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Binissalem Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Binissalem lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Migjorn's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Binissalem has conceded goals in 56% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Migjorn VS Binissalem
0.67 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Migjorn

(Home)
03 Oct
Platges de Calvia
3 : 1
Migjorn
27 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 0
Binissalem
19 Sept
Manacor
5 : 1
Migjorn
12 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 3
SD Ibiza
06 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
1 : 0
Migjorn
Page 1 of 6

Binissalem

(Away)
03 Oct
Binissalem
3 : 0
Sineu
27 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 0
Binissalem
18 Sept
Binissalem
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 5 5 0 0 15:5 15
2 SD Ibiza 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
3 Cardassar 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
4 Constancia 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
5 Llosetense 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
6 Platges de Calvia 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
7 Santanyi 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
8 Porreres 5 3 0 2 7:6 9
9 Formentera 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
10 PE Sant Jordi 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
11 Alcudia 5 2 0 3 10:11 6
12 Mercadal 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Andratx 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
14 Binissalem 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
15 Arenal 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
16 Migjorn 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
17 Inter Ibiza 5 0 1 4 2:12 1
18 Sineu 5 0 0 5 3:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)