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Migjorn vs Cardassar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Migjorn host Cardassar in the Tercera RFEF - Group 11. Cardassar go into this one as the clear favorite. Cardassar have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Migjorn have conceded 2.5 and scored 0.68. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.21 xG vs 1.56) point toward Cardassar. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Migjorn
15%
Draws
65%
Cardassar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cardassar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cardassar lately — more wins on the board than Migjorn.
  • Cardassar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Migjorn Clean Sheet 15%
Cardassar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Migjorn Cardassar
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 3 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0.68 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Migjorn 10 / 100
Cardassar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Migjorn Cardassar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardassar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardassar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Migjorn found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Migjorn went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Cardassar has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Migjorn VS Cardassar
0.67 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Migjorn

(Home)
03 Oct
Platges de Calvia
3 : 1
Migjorn
27 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 0
Binissalem
19 Sept
Manacor
5 : 1
Migjorn
12 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 3
SD Ibiza
06 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
1 : 0
Migjorn
Page 1 of 6

Cardassar

(Away)
04 Oct
Cardassar
6 : 2
Alcudia
26 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 0
Cardassar
20 Sept
Cardassar
1 : 0
Constancia
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 5 5 0 0 15:5 15
2 SD Ibiza 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
3 Cardassar 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
4 Constancia 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
5 Llosetense 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
6 Platges de Calvia 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
7 Santanyi 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
8 Porreres 5 3 0 2 7:6 9
9 Formentera 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
10 PE Sant Jordi 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
11 Alcudia 5 2 0 3 10:11 6
12 Mercadal 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Andratx 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
14 Binissalem 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
15 Arenal 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
16 Migjorn 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
17 Inter Ibiza 5 0 1 4 2:12 1
18 Sineu 5 0 0 5 3:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)