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Migjorn vs Platges de Calvia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025
Migjorn Logo

Migjorn

1 - 3
FT
Platges de Calvia Logo

Platges de Calvia

Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Josemi
82' Event
Sarmiento S.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Mercadal S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Platges de Calvia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Platges de Calvia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Migjorn
15%
Draws
57%
Platges de Calvia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Platges de Calvia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Platges de Calvia lately — more wins on the board than Migjorn.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Platges de Calvia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Migjorn Clean Sheet 17%
Platges de Calvia Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Migjorn Platges de Calvia
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 4 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 0.72 1.19
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Migjorn vs Platges de Calvia
1:3
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Migjorn
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Migjorn Compare

Top Goalscorer Mercadal S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.4

Platges de Calvia Compare

Top Goalscorer Josemi
1 Goals
Assists Leader Randall J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Migjorn 15 / 100
Platges de Calvia 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Migjorn Platges de Calvia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Platges de Calvia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Platges de Calvia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

Difficult form: Platges de Calvia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Migjorn found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Migjorn VS Platges de Calvia
0.6 Goals Scored 1
1.8 Goals Conceded 1
40% Over 1.5 63%
40% Over 2.5 38%
40% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Migjorn

(Home)
27 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 0
Binissalem
19 Sept
Manacor
5 : 1
Migjorn
12 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 3
SD Ibiza
06 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
1 : 0
Migjorn
11 May
Migjorn
1 : 3
Porreres
Page 1 of 6

Platges de Calvia

(Away)
26 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 0
Cardassar
18 Sept
Binissalem
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
12 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 2
Manacor
06 Sept
SD Ibiza
2 : 1
Platges de Calvia
10 May
Cardassar
3 : 1
Platges de Calvia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Poblense 34 22 6 6 47:17 72
2 Constancia 34 18 13 3 55:31 67
3 Formentera 34 19 9 6 68:34 66
4 Porreres 34 17 11 6 51:32 62
5 Penya Independent 34 17 7 10 59:34 58
6 Platges de Calvia 34 14 12 8 51:37 54
7 Manacor 34 13 12 9 54:36 51
8 Alcudia 34 13 8 13 51:53 47
9 Binissalem 34 13 8 13 35:34 47
10 Llosetense 34 12 8 14 47:45 44
11 Santanyi 34 10 13 11 40:45 43
12 Mercadal 34 10 10 14 40:43 40
13 Felanitx 34 10 10 14 33:50 40
14 Collerense 34 9 12 13 42:48 39
15 Portmany 34 8 13 13 43:51 37
16 PE Sant Jordi 34 8 6 20 30:52 30
17 Campos 34 4 8 22 31:75 20
18 Migjorn 34 4 4 26 22:82 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 (Play Offs)