Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025

Platges de Calvia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Migjorn play Platges de Calvia in the Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025. Platges de Calvia are favorites here. Recently, Migjorn averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Platges de Calvia averaged 1 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Migjorn won 0, Platges de Calvia won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 26, 2025 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Migjorn and 1.05 for Platges de Calvia. This points to a Platges de Calvia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Migjorn

Draws

90%

Platges de Calvia

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Platges de Calvia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Platges de Calvia has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Migjorn.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Platges de Calvia.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Migjorn Clean Sheet 20%

Platges de Calvia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Migjorn	Platges de Calvia
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	4	12
Draws	3	4
Losses	23	15
Goals Scored	0	1
Goals Conceded	0	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Migjorn vs Platges de Calvia

Possession: 46% - 50% Cards: 3 - 2

1:3

Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Platges de Calvia vs Migjorn

Possession: 56% - 50% Cards: 4 - 1

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Migjorn Compare

Top Goalscorer Mercadal S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Platges de Calvia Compare

Top Goalscorer Josemi

1 Goals

Assists Leader Randall J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Migjorn 10 / 100

Platges de Calvia 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Migjorn Platges de Calvia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PLA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Migjorn scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Platges de Calvia let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Migjorn went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Platges de Calvia lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Platges de Calvia

0 Goals Scored 1

0 Goals Conceded 1.38

0% Over 1.5 50%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD Poblense	34	22	6	6	47:17	72
2	Constancia	34	18	13	3	55:31	67
3	Formentera	34	19	9	6	68:34	66
4	Porreres	34	17	11	6	51:32	62
5	Penya Independent	34	17	7	10	59:34	58
6	Platges de Calvia	34	14	12	8	51:37	54
7	Manacor	34	13	12	9	54:36	51
8	Alcudia	34	13	8	13	51:53	47
9	Binissalem	34	13	8	13	35:34	47
10	Llosetense	34	12	8	14	47:45	44
11	Santanyi	34	10	13	11	40:45	43
12	Mercadal	34	10	10	14	40:43	40
13	Felanitx	34	10	10	14	33:50	40
14	Collerense	34	9	12	13	42:48	39
15	Portmany	34	8	13	13	43:51	37
16	PE Sant Jordi	34	8	6	20	30:52	30
17	Campos	34	4	8	22	31:75	20
18	Migjorn	34	4	4	26	22:82	16