Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025

Migjorn

1 - 3

Porreres

Our Tip

Match Events

Caicedo J.

69'

Gonzalez Ayala P.

78'

Exposito F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Porreres in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Porreres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Migjorn

33%

Draws

40%

Porreres

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Porreres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Porreres lately — more wins on the board than Migjorn.
Porreres are the model's pick here, at 40%.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Migjorn Clean Sheet 28%

Porreres Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Migjorn	Porreres
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	4	7
Draws	3	7
Losses	23	17
Goals Scored	0	0.25
Goals Conceded	0	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Migjorn vs Porreres

Possession: 56% - 51% Cards: 2 - 0

1:3

Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Porreres vs Migjorn

Possession: 54% - 50% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Migjorn Compare

Top Goalscorer Rovellada M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Porreres Compare

Top Goalscorer Caicedo J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gonzalez Ayala P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.23

Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Migjorn 30 / 100

Porreres 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Migjorn Porreres

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porreres's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Porreres registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Migjorn found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Porreres

0 Goals Scored 0.25

0 Goals Conceded 1.25

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 13%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD Poblense	34	22	6	6	47:17	72
2	Constancia	34	18	13	3	55:31	67
3	Formentera	34	19	9	6	68:34	66
4	Porreres	34	17	11	6	51:32	62
5	Penya Independent	34	17	7	10	59:34	58
6	Platges de Calvia	34	14	12	8	51:37	54
7	Manacor	34	13	12	9	54:36	51
8	Alcudia	34	13	8	13	51:53	47
9	Binissalem	34	13	8	13	35:34	47
10	Llosetense	34	12	8	14	47:45	44
11	Santanyi	34	10	13	11	40:45	43
12	Mercadal	34	10	10	14	40:43	40
13	Felanitx	34	10	10	14	33:50	40
14	Collerense	34	9	12	13	42:48	39
15	Portmany	34	8	13	13	43:51	37
16	PE Sant Jordi	34	8	6	20	30:52	30
17	Campos	34	4	8	22	31:75	20
18	Migjorn	34	4	4	26	22:82	16