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Migjorn vs Santanyi

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Riudavets H.
90' Event
Aragon S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Migjorn
30%
Draws
47%
Santanyi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santanyi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Santanyi have won more games recently than Migjorn.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Santanyi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Migjorn Clean Sheet 18%
Santanyi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Migjorn Santanyi
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 5 12
Draws 3 12
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 0.8 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.30 1.34
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Migjorn vs Santanyi
1:1
Nov 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Migjorn
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Migjorn Compare

Top Goalscorer Riudavets H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.65

Santanyi Compare

Top Goalscorer Aragon S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Migjorn 15 / 100
Santanyi 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Migjorn Santanyi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santanyi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santanyi conceded in 84% of 37 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Migjorn scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Migjorn remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Migjorn VS Santanyi
0.6 Goals Scored 0.88
1.8 Goals Conceded 2
40% Over 1.5 88%
40% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Migjorn

(Home)
27 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 0
Binissalem
19 Sept
Manacor
5 : 1
Migjorn
12 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 3
SD Ibiza
06 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
1 : 0
Migjorn
11 May
Migjorn
1 : 3
Porreres
Page 1 of 6

Santanyi

(Away)
26 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Mercadal
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Constancia
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
30 Aug
Andratx
2 : 1
Santanyi
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Poblense 34 22 6 6 47:17 72
2 Constancia 34 18 13 3 55:31 67
3 Formentera 34 19 9 6 68:34 66
4 Porreres 34 17 11 6 51:32 62
5 Penya Independent 34 17 7 10 59:34 58
6 Platges de Calvia 34 14 12 8 51:37 54
7 Manacor 34 13 12 9 54:36 51
8 Alcudia 34 13 8 13 51:53 47
9 Binissalem 34 13 8 13 35:34 47
10 Llosetense 34 12 8 14 47:45 44
11 Santanyi 34 10 13 11 40:45 43
12 Mercadal 34 10 10 14 40:43 40
13 Felanitx 34 10 10 14 33:50 40
14 Collerense 34 9 12 13 42:48 39
15 Portmany 34 8 13 13 43:51 37
16 PE Sant Jordi 34 8 6 20 30:52 30
17 Campos 34 4 8 22 31:75 20
18 Migjorn 34 4 4 26 22:82 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 (Play Offs)