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Migori vs MCF

Kenya Kenya

Super League
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AI Match Summary

Migori in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Migori.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Migori
20%
Draws
28%
MCF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Migori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Migori lately — more wins on the board than MCF.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Migori Clean Sheet 20%
MCF Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Migori MCF
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.54 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Super League
Migori vs MCF
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Super League
MCF vs Migori
0:1
Jun 28, 2025 Super League
Migori vs MCF
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 Super League
Migori vs MCF
1:1
Feb 26, 2025 Super League
MCF vs Migori
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Migori 31 / 100
MCF 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Migori MCF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Migori Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Migori has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Migori found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

MCF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Migori VS MCF
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Migori

(Home)
13 Jun
3K FC
1 : 1
Migori
07 Jun
Migori
2 : 1
Equity Bank
01 Jun
Kisumu All-Stars
0 : 1
Migori
27 May
Migori
2 : 1
MCF
23 May
Migori
1 : 0
Kibera
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MCF

(Away)
13 Jun
MCF
0 : 3
Fortune Sacco
07 Jun
Kibera
1 : 2
MCF
01 Jun
MCF
2 : 0
Mwatate United
27 May
Migori
2 : 1
MCF
23 May
Nairobi City Stars
0 : 0
MCF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
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