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Migori vs Mombasa United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Fri, Oct 2, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Migori host Mombasa United in the Premier League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Migori at 1.63 goals for, 0.75 against; Mombasa United at 1.35 for, 0.83 against. Head-to-head, Migori have won 1 to Mombasa United's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 2, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.38 xG vs 0.38) point toward Migori. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Migori
30%
Draws
27%
Mombasa United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Migori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Migori have won more games recently than Mombasa United.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Migori taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Migori Clean Sheet 20%
Mombasa United Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Migori Mombasa United
Matches Played 24 23
Wins 16 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 1.63 1.35
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Premier League
Migori vs Mombasa United
0:0
May 3, 2026 Super League
Mombasa United vs Migori
0:0
Dec 12, 2025 Super League
Migori vs Mombasa United
3:2
Apr 19, 2025 Super League
Mombasa United vs Migori
4:1
Jan 26, 2025 Super League
Migori vs Mombasa United
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Migori 36 / 100
Mombasa United 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Migori Mombasa United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Migori stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Migori scored in 79% of their last 24 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Mombasa United has conceded goals in 57% of their last 23 outings.

Scoring Trends

Migori VS Mombasa United
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Migori

(Home)
13 Jun
3K FC
1 : 1
Migori
07 Jun
Migori
2 : 1
Equity Bank
01 Jun
Kisumu All-Stars
0 : 1
Migori
27 May
Migori
2 : 1
MCF
23 May
Migori
1 : 0
Kibera
Page 1 of 5

Mombasa United

(Away)
01 Oct
Mombasa United
2 : 1
Kariobangi Sharks
13 Jun
Naivas FC
1 : 1
Mombasa United
07 Jun
Mombasa United
1 : 0
Nzoia Sugar
01 Jun
Luanda Villa
1 : 0
Mombasa United
27 May
Mombasa United
0 : 0
3K FC
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mathare United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Ulinzi Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Tusker 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mahia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Leopards 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 KCB 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Posta Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Bandari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Kakamega Homeboyz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Police FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Migori 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Shabana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 APS Bomet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Muranga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Mombasa United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Mara Sugar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Nairobi United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 3K FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)