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Stadium Background

Miguelense vs Alianca

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano 2
Miguelense Logo

Miguelense

2 - 1
FT
Alianca Logo

Alianca

Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
da Silva J.
68' Event
Ramos H.
90' Event
Oliveira H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Miguelense in this Alagoano 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Miguelense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Miguelense
15%
Draws
46%
Alianca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alianca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Alianca at 1.38 per game, Miguelense at 0.8.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Alianca taking it.
  • Regular Alagoano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Miguelense Clean Sheet 10%
Alianca Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miguelense Alianca
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 7 7
Draws 3 3
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.8 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Alagoano 2
Miguelense vs Alianca
2:1
Aug 13, 2025 Alagoano 2
Alianca vs Miguelense
2:0
Sep 18, 2024 Alagoano 2
Alianca vs Miguelense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Miguelense Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oliveira H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Alianca Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miguelense 10 / 100
Alianca 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miguelense Alianca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianca has conceded goals in 73% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Miguelense scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Miguelense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Miguelense VS Alianca
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Miguelense

(Home)
17 May
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Miguelense
10 May
Miguelense
0 : 3
Sporting FC
02 May
Miguelense
0 : 1
Zumbi
25 Apr
Jacioba
0 : 1
Miguelense
22 Apr
Miguelense
4 : 0
Sao Domingos AL
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Alianca

(Away)
17 May
Zumbi
1 : 0
Alianca
10 May
Alianca
0 : 0
Zumbi
02 May
Alianca
9 : 0
Jacioba
26 Apr
Sao Domingos AL
2 : 6
Alianca
22 Apr
Alianca
1 : 6
Sporting FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zumbi 5 4 1 0 8:1 13
2 Sporting FC 5 4 0 1 14:3 12
3 Miguelense 5 3 0 2 8:6 9
4 Alianca 5 2 1 2 18:11 7
5 Jacioba 5 0 1 4 0:13 1
6 Sao Domingos AL 5 0 1 4 2:16 1
Promotion - Alagoano 2 (Play Offs)