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Miguelense vs Guarany Alagoano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Silva P.
12' Event
Kaue Santos
14' Event
Pedro

AI Match Summary

The Alagoano 2 2025 game between Miguelense and Guarany Alagoano finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarany Alagoano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Miguelense
20%
Draws
46%
Guarany Alagoano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guarany Alagoano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guarany Alagoano come out ahead of Miguelense on wins alone.
  • Guarany Alagoano are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Alagoano 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Miguelense Clean Sheet 10%
Guarany Alagoano Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miguelense Guarany Alagoano
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 15
Draws 3 7
Losses 20 6
Goals Scored 0.8 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2025 Alagoano 2
Miguelense vs Guarany Alagoano
1:4
Sep 25, 2024 Alagoano 2
Miguelense vs Guarany Alagoano
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Miguelense Compare

Top Goalscorer Victor Hugo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Guarany Alagoano Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaue Santos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miguelense 10 / 100
Guarany Alagoano 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miguelense Guarany Alagoano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarany Alagoano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Miguelense's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Guarany Alagoano has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Miguelense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Miguelense VS Guarany Alagoano
0.63 Goals Scored 1.86
3.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 86%
88% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Miguelense

(Home)
17 May
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Miguelense
10 May
Miguelense
0 : 3
Sporting FC
02 May
Miguelense
0 : 1
Zumbi
25 Apr
Jacioba
0 : 1
Miguelense
22 Apr
Miguelense
4 : 0
Sao Domingos AL
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Guarany Alagoano

(Away)
18 Oct
Guarany Alagoano
2 : 2
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
12 Oct
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
2 : 1
Guarany Alagoano
04 Oct
Guarany Alagoano
1 : 1
Agrimaq
27 Sept
Agrimaq
0 : 2
Guarany Alagoano
21 Sept
Miguelense
1 : 4
Guarany Alagoano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany Alagoano 7 7 0 0 16:2 21
2 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 7 5 1 1 11:4 16
3 Dimensao Capela 7 4 0 3 12:7 12
4 Agrimaq 7 4 0 3 13:11 12
5 Zumbi 7 3 1 3 10:6 10
6 Alianca 7 2 0 5 10:12 6
7 Miguelense 7 2 0 5 8:13 6
8 Jacioba 7 0 0 7 3:28 0
Promotion - Alagoano 2 2025 (Play Offs)