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Mikkelin vs JaPS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Mikkelin Urheilupuisto, Mikkeli
Mikkelin Logo

Mikkelin

Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
JaPS Logo

JaPS

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mikkelin host JaPS in the Ykkosliiga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Mikkelin have averaged 1.24 scored and 1.48 conceded recently, against JaPS's 1.28 scored and 1.34 conceded. Past meetings favor JaPS slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 7, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.19) back JaPS to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Mikkelin
30%
Draws
33%
JaPS
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mikkelin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • JaPS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mikkelin a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Mikkelin Clean Sheet 20%
JaPS Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mikkelin JaPS
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 2
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.24 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Ykkosliiga
JaPS vs Mikkelin
1:0
May 22, 2026 Ykkosliiga
JaPS vs Mikkelin
0:2
Feb 21, 2026 Ykkosliigacup
Mikkelin vs JaPS
1:1
Aug 30, 2024 Ykkosliiga
JaPS vs Mikkelin
4:0
Jul 17, 2024 Ykkosliiga
JaPS vs Mikkelin
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mikkelin 40 / 100
JaPS 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mikkelin JaPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mikkelin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mikkelin scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Mikkelin has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

JaPS let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mikkelin VS JaPS
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mikkelin

(Home)
25 Sept
KTP
1 : 1
Mikkelin
19 Sept
Mikkelin
1 : 0
Jippo
12 Sept
Mikkelin
1 : 1
SJK Akatemia
06 Sept
Haka
0 : 2
Mikkelin
29 Aug
Mikkelin
0 : 3
PK-35
Page 1 of 6

JaPS

(Away)
26 Sept
Klubi 04
2 : 1
JaPS
18 Sept
JaPS
1 : 0
Ekenas IF
11 Sept
KTP
3 : 0
JaPS
06 Sept
SJK Akatemia
2 : 3
JaPS
28 Aug
JaPS
0 : 0
KaPa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTP 25 18 4 3 45:22 58
2 PK-35 25 14 7 4 41:18 49
3 Haka 25 13 5 7 47:29 44
4 Jippo 25 11 8 6 32:21 41
5 JaPS 25 11 2 12 23:36 35
6 Ekenas IF 25 8 5 12 29:37 29
7 Mikkelin 25 8 5 12 27:35 29
8 KaPa 25 6 6 13 30:45 24
9 Klubi 04 25 5 8 12 30:37 23
10 SJK Akatemia 25 2 8 15 17:41 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2027 (Main)