Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mikkelin vs KaPa

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Mikkelin Urheilupuisto, Mikkeli
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Kuningas M.
22' Event
Tervaniemi A.
Assist: Kawale R.
25'
Sub
Laiho V. In: Ring A.
Out: Laiho V.

AI Match Summary

The Ykkosliiga game between Mikkelin and KaPa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mikkelin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Mikkelin
30%
Draws
23%
KaPa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mikkelin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mikkelin come out ahead of KaPa on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Mikkelin taking it.
  • Regular Ykkosliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and KaPa have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Mikkelin Clean Sheet 16%
KaPa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mikkelin KaPa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Ykkosliiga
Mikkelin vs KaPa
2:1
Apr 19, 2026 Ykkosliiga
Mikkelin vs KaPa
0:1
Sep 14, 2024 Ykkosliiga
KaPa vs Mikkelin
3:2
Jul 11, 2024 Ykkosliiga
Mikkelin vs KaPa
2:6
May 12, 2024 Ykkosliiga
KaPa vs Mikkelin
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mikkelin Compare

Top Goalscorer Tervaniemi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Obioha S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

KaPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuningas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mikkelin 39 / 100
KaPa 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mikkelin KaPa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mikkelin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KaPa let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Mikkelin found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: KaPa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mikkelin VS KaPa
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mikkelin

(Home)
12 Sept
Mikkelin
1 : 1
SJK Akatemia
06 Sept
Haka
0 : 2
Mikkelin
29 Aug
Mikkelin
0 : 3
PK-35
22 Aug
Klubi 04
4 : 3
Mikkelin
16 Aug
Mikkelin
0 : 2
Ekenas IF
Page 1 of 6

KaPa

(Away)
11 Sept
KaPa
1 : 4
PK-35
07 Sept
Klubi 04
2 : 2
KaPa
28 Aug
JaPS
0 : 0
KaPa
20 Aug
KaPa
1 : 3
Jippo
15 Aug
KTP
2 : 1
KaPa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTP 23 17 3 3 41:21 54
2 PK-35 23 14 6 3 41:15 48
3 Haka 23 12 5 6 43:26 41
4 Jippo 23 11 7 5 32:20 40
5 JaPS 23 10 2 11 21:34 32
6 Ekenas IF 23 8 4 11 28:35 28
7 Mikkelin 23 7 4 12 25:34 25
8 Klubi 04 23 4 8 11 28:34 20
9 KaPa 23 4 6 13 24:41 18
10 SJK Akatemia 23 2 7 14 14:37 13
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2027 (Main)