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Mikkelin vs KTP

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Mikkelin Urheilupuisto, Mikkeli
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Chibuzor C.
11' Event
Obioha S.
36' Event
Tervaniemi A.
Assist: Atakayi S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ykkosliiga matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Mikkelin
30%
Draws
43%
KTP
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: KTP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to KTP lately — more wins on the board than Mikkelin.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on KTP taking it.
  • Regular Ykkosliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Mikkelin Clean Sheet 10%
KTP Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mikkelin KTP
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 20
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.2 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KTP vs Mikkelin
1:1
Jul 25, 2026 Ykkosliiga
Mikkelin vs KTP
3:3
Apr 10, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KTP vs Mikkelin
1:0
Feb 25, 2026 Ykkosliigacup
KTP vs Mikkelin
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 Club Friendly
Mikkelin vs KTP
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mikkelin Compare

Top Goalscorer Obioha S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tervaniemi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

KTP Compare

Top Goalscorer Chibuzor C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paavola M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mikkelin 10 / 100
KTP 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mikkelin KTP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KTP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mikkelin scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Mikkelin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

KTP's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mikkelin VS KTP
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mikkelin

(Home)
25 Sept
KTP
1 : 1
Mikkelin
19 Sept
Mikkelin
1 : 0
Jippo
12 Sept
Mikkelin
1 : 1
SJK Akatemia
06 Sept
Haka
0 : 2
Mikkelin
29 Aug
Mikkelin
0 : 3
PK-35
Page 1 of 6

KTP

(Away)
25 Sept
KTP
1 : 1
Mikkelin
19 Sept
PK-35
0 : 3
KTP
11 Sept
KTP
3 : 0
JaPS
04 Sept
Jippo
0 : 2
KTP
28 Aug
KTP
2 : 1
Haka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTP 25 18 4 3 45:22 58
2 PK-35 25 14 7 4 41:18 49
3 Haka 25 13 5 7 47:29 44
4 Jippo 25 11 8 6 32:21 41
5 JaPS 25 11 2 12 23:36 35
6 Ekenas IF 25 8 5 12 29:37 29
7 Mikkelin 25 8 5 12 27:35 29
8 KaPa 25 6 6 13 30:45 24
9 Klubi 04 25 5 8 12 30:37 23
10 SJK Akatemia 25 2 8 15 17:41 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2027 (Main)