Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Milazzo vs Gelbison

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Viscomi F.
54' Event
Ferreira M.
(Penalty)
86' Event
Curiale D.

AI Match Summary

Gelbison in this Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gelbison.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Milazzo
15%
Draws
46%
Gelbison
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gelbison

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Gelbison have won more games recently than Milazzo.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Milazzo taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Milazzo Clean Sheet 20%
Gelbison Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Milazzo Gelbison
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.86 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Milazzo vs Gelbison
1:3
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Gelbison vs Milazzo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Milazzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Curiale D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Gelbison Compare

Top Goalscorer Viscomi F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kosovan T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Milazzo 36 / 100
Gelbison 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Milazzo Gelbison

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gelbison let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Milazzo scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Milazzo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Milazzo VS Gelbison
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Milazzo

(Home)
27 Sept
Athletic Palermo
3 : 0
Milazzo
20 Sept
Milazzo
0 : 1
Sambiase
16 Sept
Enna
0 : 1
Milazzo
13 Sept
Milazzo
3 : 1
USD Ragusa
06 Sept
Castrumfavara
3 : 0
Milazzo
Page 1 of 6

Gelbison

(Away)
27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3
Gelbison
20 Sept
Sarnese
3 : 1
Gelbison
16 Sept
Gelbison
2 : 1
Budoni Calcio
13 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 1
Gelbison
06 Sept
Gelbison
0 : 0
Afragolese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)