Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Milazzo vs Sambiase

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Calabro L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 game between Milazzo and Sambiase finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sambiase.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Milazzo
15%
Draws
53%
Sambiase
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sambiase

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Sambiase carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Sambiase taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sambiase have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Milazzo Clean Sheet 16%
Sambiase Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Milazzo Sambiase
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.83 1.1
Goals Conceded 1 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Milazzo vs Sambiase
0:1
Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Milazzo vs Sambiase
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Sambiase vs Milazzo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Milazzo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sambiase Compare

Top Goalscorer Calabro L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Milazzo 10 / 100
Sambiase 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Milazzo Sambiase

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sambiase Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Milazzo scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Sambiase conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Milazzo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Milazzo VS Sambiase
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Milazzo

(Home)
20 Sept
Milazzo
0 : 1
Sambiase
16 Sept
Enna
0 : 1
Milazzo
13 Sept
Milazzo
3 : 1
USD Ragusa
06 Sept
Castrumfavara
3 : 0
Milazzo
03 May
ACR Messina
1 : 0
Milazzo
Page 1 of 6

Sambiase

(Away)
20 Sept
Milazzo
0 : 1
Sambiase
16 Sept
Sambiase
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
12 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
1 : 1
Sambiase
06 Sept
Sambiase
2 : 1
Gela
08 Aug
Salernitana
2 : 1
Sambiase
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)