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Stadium Background

Milazzo vs Siracusa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Mascari A.

AI Match Summary

Milazzo in this Serie D - Group I matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Milazzo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Milazzo
20%
Draws
38%
Siracusa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Milazzo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Milazzo lately — more wins on the board than Siracusa.
  • Milazzo are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Milazzo Clean Sheet 20%
Siracusa Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Milazzo Siracusa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 11
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Milazzo vs Siracusa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Milazzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Mascari A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Siracusa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Milazzo 36 / 100
Siracusa 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Milazzo Siracusa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siracusa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Milazzo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Milazzo scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Milazzo VS Siracusa
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Milazzo

(Home)
04 Oct
Milazzo
1 : 0
Siracusa
27 Sept
Athletic Palermo
3 : 0
Milazzo
20 Sept
Milazzo
0 : 1
Sambiase
16 Sept
Enna
0 : 1
Milazzo
13 Sept
Milazzo
3 : 1
USD Ragusa
Page 1 of 6

Siracusa

(Away)
04 Oct
Milazzo
1 : 0
Siracusa
27 Sept
Siracusa
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
20 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
0 : 0
Siracusa
16 Sept
Siracusa
2 : 1
Gela
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 15:1 15
2 Vibonese 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
3 Sambiase 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Calcio Avola 6 4 0 2 9:10 12
5 Igea Virtus 6 3 2 1 14:11 11
6 Licata 6 3 2 1 8:8 11
7 Digiesse PraiaTortora 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
8 Milazzo 6 3 0 3 5:8 9
9 Athletic Palermo 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Nissa 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 ASD Modica Calcio 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
12 Lamezia 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
13 Siracusa 6 3 2 1 8:5 4
14 Castrumfavara 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
15 Gela 6 1 2 3 4:6 4
16 USD Ragusa 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
17 Trapani 6 2 0 4 3:10 1
18 Enna 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)