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Milford vs Baroka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Africa South Africa

Nedbank Cup
Milford Logo

Milford

2 - 0
FT
Baroka Logo

Baroka

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Milford
35%
Draws
16%
Baroka
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Milford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Milford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Milford a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Milford have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Milford, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Milford have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Milford Clean Sheet 20%
Baroka Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Milford Baroka
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Milford vs Baroka
5:0
Dec 3, 2025 Nedbank Cup
Milford vs Baroka
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Baroka vs Milford
0:2
May 18, 2025 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Milford vs Baroka
1:2
Nov 2, 2024 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Baroka vs Milford
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Milford 85 / 100
Baroka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Milford Baroka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Milford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baroka has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Milford scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

Solid form: Milford remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Milford VS Baroka
1 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Milford

(Home)
20 Sept
Milford
1 : 1
Durban City
13 Sept
Milford
5 : 1
Richards Bay
05 Sept
Chippa Utd.
0 : 0
Milford
02 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 0
Milford
26 Aug
Polokwane City
0 : 0
Milford
Page 1 of 7

Baroka

(Away)
17 May
Baroka
0 : 0
Upington City
10 May
Cape Town City
1 : 0
Baroka
01 May
Real Native
2 : 0
Baroka
26 Apr
Baroka
0 : 3
Kruger United
22 Apr
Baroka
1 : 1
Gomora United
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
TS Galaxy -
TBD -
TBD -
Marumo Gallants -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
TBD -
The Bees 0
Gomora United 1
Cardinals -
TBD -
TBD -
Jacksa Spears -
Vasco Da Gama -
TBD -
TBD -
Luthuli Brigades -
Hungry Lions 2
Venda 1
Leicesterford City 1
Pretoria U. 2
Kruger United 0
Highbury 3
TBD -
Sekhukhune -
SSU M-17 -
TBD -
Milford 2
Baroka 0
Mkhambathi -
TBD -
Lerumo Lions 1
Midlands Wanderers 0
Golden Arrows -
TBD -
TBD -
Orbit College -
Stellenbosch FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Cape Town City 0
Upington City 1
TBD -
Magesi -
Durban City -
TBD -
TBD -
Chippa Utd. -
Polokwane City -
TBD -
TBD -
AmaZulu -
Siwelele -
TBD -
TBD -
Richards Bay -
Army Rocket -
TBD -
Black Leopards 0
Real Native 1
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando Pirates -
1/16-finals
TS Galaxy 1
Marumo Gallants 0
Mamelodi Sundowns 2
Gomora United 1
Cardinals 2
Jacksa Spears 4
Vasco Da Gama 4
Luthuli Brigades 1
Hungry Lions 1
Pretoria U. 2
Highbury 0
Sekhukhune 1
SSU M-17 1
Milford 2
Mkhambathi 2
Lerumo Lions 1
Golden Arrows 3
Orbit College 0
Stellenbosch FC 2
Kaizer Chiefs 1
Upington City 1
Magesi 0
Durban City 1
Chippa Utd. 0
Polokwane City 1
AmaZulu 2
Siwelele 3
Richards Bay 4
Army Rocket 0
Real Native 3
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila 1
Orlando Pirates 4
1/8-finals
TS Galaxy 2
Mamelodi Sundowns 0
Jacksa Spears 1
Vasco Da Gama 0
Pretoria U. 0
Sekhukhune 1
Milford 3
Mkhambathi 0
Golden Arrows 1
Stellenbosch FC 0
Upington City 0
Durban City 1
AmaZulu 1
Richards Bay 0
Real Native 1
Orlando Pirates 0
Quarter-finals
TS Galaxy 2
Jacksa Spears 0
Sekhukhune 2
Milford 3
Golden Arrows 1
Durban City 2
AmaZulu 1
Real Native 2
Semi-finals
TS Galaxy 2
Milford 1
Durban City 1
Real Native 0
Final
TS Galaxy 1
Durban City 2