Sport Picks

Colombia

Liga Women 2025 Estadio El Campín

Once Caldas W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Millonarios W play Once Caldas W in the Liga Women 2025. Millonarios W are favorites here. Recently, Millonarios W averaged 1.82 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Once Caldas W averaged 0.57 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Millonarios W won 2, Once Caldas W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 17, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Millonarios W and 0.50 for Once Caldas W. This points to a Millonarios W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%

Millonarios W

31%

Draws

13%

Once Caldas W

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Millonarios W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence

Millonarios W picked up more points recently compared to Once Caldas W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 0.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Millonarios W Clean Sheet 31%

Once Caldas W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Millonarios W	Once Caldas W
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	17	3
Draws	10	10
Losses	7	17
Goals Scored	1.82	0.57
Goals Conceded	0.94	1.43
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 Liga Women

Millonarios W vs Once Caldas W

Possession: 44% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

3:0

Jun 21, 2025 Liga Women

Millonarios W vs Once Caldas W

Possession: 57% - 53% Cards: 0 - 0

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Millonarios W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ariza T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Once Caldas W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Millonarios W 57 / 100

Once Caldas W 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Millonarios W Once Caldas W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Millonarios W Win (1)

Secondary Pick Millonarios W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.5%

2.08

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Millonarios W attacking → ← attacking Once Caldas W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Millonarios W scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Once Caldas W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Millonarios W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Once Caldas W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 19

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dep. Cali W	16	12	2	2	35:7	38
2	Indep. Santa Fe W	16	11	2	3	32:12	35
3	Atl. Nacional W	16	7	8	1	22:10	29
4	Ind. Medellin W	16	9	2	5	24:14	29
5	Inter Palmira W	16	8	3	5	19:18	27
6	America de Cali W	16	7	5	4	19:13	26
7	Orsomarso W	16	7	4	5	23:14	25
8	Millonarios W	16	6	6	4	25:20	24
9	Inter Bogotá W	16	6	6	4	14:9	24
10	Dep. Pasto W	16	6	5	5	21:17	23
11	Junior W	16	3	5	8	21:37	14
12	Real Santander W	16	2	7	7	9:18	13
13	Once Caldas W	16	2	6	8	12:23	12
14	Alianza W	16	3	1	12	15:37	10
15	Fortaleza W	16	2	4	10	12:37	10
16	Bucaramanga W	16	1	6	9	5:22	9