Sport Picks

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Millwall U21 vs Swansea U21

England England

Premier League Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Pescatore J.
40' Event
Demery C.
Assist: Pescatore J.
44' Event
Redhead C.
Assist: Beaumont G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-5, with Swansea U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Millwall U21
40%
Draws
29%
Swansea U21
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Swansea U21 come out ahead of Millwall U21 on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Swansea U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Swansea U21, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Millwall U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Swansea U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Millwall U21 Swansea U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.43 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.71 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2026 Professional Development League
Swansea U21 vs Millwall U21
1:1
Jan 16, 2026 Professional Development League
Millwall U21 vs Swansea U21
2:5
Dec 20, 2025 Premier League Cup
Millwall U21 vs Swansea U21
1:5
Nov 21, 2025 Premier League Cup
Swansea U21 vs Millwall U21
2:1
Jan 24, 2025 Professional Development League
Millwall U21 vs Swansea U21
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Millwall U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Redhead C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71

Swansea U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pescatore J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Demery C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Millwall U21 30 / 100
Swansea U21 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Millwall U21 Swansea U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Millwall U21's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Swansea U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Solid form: Millwall U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Millwall U21 VS Swansea U21
1.43 Goals Scored 2.63
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 88%
29% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Millwall U21

(Home)
14 Jul
Hornchurch
3 : 0
Millwall U21
13 Apr
Coventry U21
1 : 4
Millwall U21
31 Mar
Millwall U21
1 : 1
Sheffield Wed U21
24 Mar
Fleetwood Town U21
3 : 2
Millwall U21
20 Mar
Millwall U21
2 : 0
Watford U21
Page 1 of 6

Swansea U21

(Away)
02 May
Norwich U21
1 : 0
Swansea U21
27 Apr
Swansea U21
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
21 Apr
Sheffield Utd U21
2 : 2
Swansea U21
19 Apr
Brentford U21
2 : 2
Swansea U21
14 Apr
Fleetwood Town U21
0 : 1
Swansea U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Reading U21650110:315
2Bournemouth U21632115:1011
3Hull City U21620412:126
4Birmingham U2160245:172
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sheffield Utd U21660014:718
2Stoke City U21613210:126
3Derby U21612315:125
4Bristol City U21611410:184
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ipswich U21641112:413
2Charlton U2163129:1410
3Leicester U21620411:96
4Preston U2161236:115
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Watford U21631212:1010
2Blackburn U21622210:88
3Leyton Orient U21622211:128
4Coventry U2161327:106
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1West Brom U21641113:1013
2Brentford U21640216:512
3Exeter U2162134:77
4Luton U2161058:193
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Burnley U21640211:1012
2QPR U21631211:910
3Cardiff U21621315:127
4Stockport U21620411:176
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nottingham U21651010:316
2Swansea U21631214:910
3Wolves U2162139:117
4Millwall U2160157:171
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colchester U21631215:1210
2Sunderland U21631213:1010
3Bromley U2163037:119
4Norwich U21612310:125
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)