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Millwall U21 vs Swansea U21

England England

Premier League Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Pescatore J.
40' Event
Demery C.
Assist: Pescatore J.
44' Event
Redhead C.
Assist: Beaumont G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-5, with Swansea U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Millwall U21
15%
Draws
85%
Swansea U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swansea U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Swansea U21 come out ahead of Millwall U21 on wins alone.
  • Swansea U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Swansea U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Swansea U21, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Millwall U21 Clean Sheet 12%
Swansea U21 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Millwall U21 Swansea U21
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 14
Draws 3 8
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.55 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.05 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2026 Professional Development League
Swansea U21 vs Millwall U21
1:1
Jan 16, 2026 Professional Development League
Millwall U21 vs Swansea U21
2:5
Dec 20, 2025 Premier League Cup
Millwall U21 vs Swansea U21
1:5
Nov 21, 2025 Premier League Cup
Swansea U21 vs Millwall U21
2:1
Jan 24, 2025 Professional Development League
Millwall U21 vs Swansea U21
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Millwall U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Redhead C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.81
Avg xA / game 0.53

Swansea U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pescatore J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Demery C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Millwall U21 10 / 100
Swansea U21 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Millwall U21 Swansea U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swansea U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Millwall U21's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Swansea U21 let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Away concern: Swansea U21 has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Millwall U21 VS Swansea U21
0.86 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
71% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Millwall U21

(Home)
15 Sept
Millwall U21
0 : 3
Bolton U21
01 Sept
Fleetwood Town U21
1 : 0
Millwall U21
25 Aug
Millwall U21
2 : 4
Huddersfield U21
14 Aug
Brighton U21
2 : 0
Millwall U21
14 Jul
Hornchurch
3 : 0
Millwall U21
Page 1 of 6

Swansea U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Fleetwood Town U21
2 : 1
Swansea U21
14 Sept
Swansea U21
2 : 0
Huddersfield U21
07 Sept
Swansea U21
2 : 2
Huddersfield U21
01 Sept
Hull City U21
0 : 2
Swansea U21
25 Aug
Swansea U21
2 : 3
Peterborough U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reading U21 6 5 0 1 10:3 15
2 Bournemouth U21 6 3 2 1 15:10 11
3 Hull City U21 6 2 0 4 12:12 6
4 Birmingham U21 6 0 2 4 5:17 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U21 6 6 0 0 14:7 18
2 Stoke City U21 6 1 3 2 10:12 6
3 Derby U21 6 1 2 3 15:12 5
4 Bristol City U21 6 1 1 4 10:18 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U21 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Charlton U21 6 3 1 2 9:14 10
3 Leicester U21 6 2 0 4 11:9 6
4 Preston U21 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watford U21 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
2 Blackburn U21 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
3 Leyton Orient U21 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
4 Coventry U21 6 1 3 2 7:10 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U21 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
2 Brentford U21 6 4 0 2 16:5 12
3 Exeter U21 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Luton U21 6 1 0 5 8:19 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burnley U21 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 QPR U21 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
3 Cardiff U21 6 2 1 3 15:12 7
4 Stockport U21 6 2 0 4 11:17 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U21 6 5 1 0 10:3 16
2 Swansea U21 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
3 Wolves U21 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
4 Millwall U21 6 0 1 5 7:17 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colchester U21 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
2 Sunderland U21 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
3 Bromley U21 6 3 0 3 7:11 9
4 Norwich U21 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)