Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Millwall vs QPR

England England

Championship 2025/2026 The Den, London
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Mazou-Sacko D.
17' Event
Neghli C.
Assist: Mazou-Sacko D.
19'
Edwards R.

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2025/2026 game between Millwall and QPR finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Millwall.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Millwall
28%
Draws
50%
QPR
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: QPR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • QPR haven't matched Millwall's recent run of results.
  • QPR are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Millwall Clean Sheet 20%
QPR Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Millwall QPR
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Championship
Millwall vs QPR
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 Championship
QPR vs Millwall
1:2
Feb 1, 2025 Championship
Millwall vs QPR
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 Championship
QPR vs Millwall
1:1
Jan 20, 2024 Championship
QPR vs Millwall
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Millwall Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazou-Sacko D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Neghli C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

QPR Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Millwall 24 / 100
QPR 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Millwall QPR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QPR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Millwall found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

QPR let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Millwall stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Millwall VS QPR
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Millwall

(Home)
28 Jul
Bromley
1 : 1
Millwall
25 Jul
Stevenage
1 : 0
Millwall
21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0
Millwall
17 Jul
Eldense
1 : 2
Millwall
14 Jul
FC Andorra
2 : 1
Millwall
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QPR

(Away)
25 Jul
QPR
3 : 2
Fiorentina
21 Jul
QPR
1 : 0
Wycombe
16 Jul
Wiener Neustadt
1 : 3
QPR
11 Jul
First Vienna
0 : 0
QPR
02 May
Ipswich
3 : 0
QPR
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coventry462811797:4595
2Ipswich462315880:4784
3Millwall4624111164:4983
4Southampton4622141082:5680
5Middlesbrough4622141072:4780
6Hull City4621101570:6673
7Wrexham4619141369:6571
8Derby462091767:5969
9Norwich461981963:5665
10Birmingham4617131657:5664
11Swansea4618101857:5964
12Bristol City4617111859:5962
13Sheffield Utd461862266:6660
14Preston4615151655:6260
15QPR4616102061:7358
16Watford4614151753:6557
17Stoke City4615102151:5655
18Portsmouth4614131949:6455
19Charlton4613141944:5853
20Blackburn4613132042:5652
21West Brom4613141948:5851
22Oxford Utd4611142145:5947
23Leicester4612161858:6846
24Sheffield Wed462123229:890
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)