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Millwall W vs Arsenal W

England England

Women's League Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Arsenal W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Millwall W
20%
Draws
52%
Arsenal W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arsenal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arsenal W come out ahead of Millwall W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Arsenal W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Arsenal W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Arsenal W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Millwall W Clean Sheet 10%
Arsenal W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Millwall W Arsenal W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 22
Draws 2 3
Losses 24 4
Goals Scored 0.77 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.93 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2018 Women's League Cup
Millwall W vs Arsenal W
1:3
Feb 18, 2018 Women’s FA Cup
Arsenal W vs Millwall W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Millwall W 26 / 100
Arsenal W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Millwall W Arsenal W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsenal W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Millwall W's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Arsenal W let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Millwall W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arsenal W
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Millwall W

(Home)
26 Oct
Millwall W
0 : 2
Cheltenham W
10 Dec
Moneyfields W
1 : 0
Millwall W
26 Nov
Millwall W
2 : 0
Bromley W
12 Nov
Denham United W
2 : 3
Millwall W
13 Nov
Millwall W
2 : 3
Gillingham W
Page 1 of 6

Arsenal W

(Away)
22 Sept
Arsenal W
1 : 0
Koge W
19 Sept
Arsenal W
1 : 1
Manchester United W
13 Sept
Arsenal W
0 : 0
Crystal Palace W
06 Sept
Brighton W
0 : 1
Arsenal W
26 Aug
Arsenal W
5 : 1
Charlton W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City W 5 5 0 0 17:0 14
2 Birmingham W 5 3 0 2 10:0 11
3 Bristol City W 5 3 0 2 10:8 9
4 Sheffield Utd W 5 2 0 3 6:13 6
5 Aston Villa W 5 1 0 4 4:13 3
6 Leicester W 5 1 0 4 3:16 2
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester United W 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
2 Reading W 4 2 0 2 9:5 7
3 Everton W 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
4 Durham W 4 1 0 3 5:8 4
5 Liverpool W 4 2 0 2 5:8 4
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea W 5 5 0 0 25:2 15
2 Brighton W 5 3 0 2 15:8 10
3 Crystal Palace W 5 3 0 2 10:12 8
4 Tottenham W 5 2 0 3 9:12 6
5 London Bees W 5 2 0 3 9:19 5
6 Yeovil W 5 0 0 5 2:17 1
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal W 4 4 0 0 20:2 12
2 West Ham W 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
3 Lewes W 4 2 0 2 8:13 6
4 Charlton W 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
5 Millwall W 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)