Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Millwall W vs Aston Villa W

England England

Women’s Championship 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Hutton J.
12' Event
Lumsden B.
45' Event
Smith T.

AI Match Summary

The Women’s Championship 2018/2019 game between Millwall W and Aston Villa W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aston Villa W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Millwall W
20%
Draws
36%
Aston Villa W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Millwall W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Millwall W haven't matched Aston Villa W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Millwall W a 44% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Women’s Championship 2018/2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Millwall W Clean Sheet 19%
Aston Villa W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Millwall W Aston Villa W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 2 5
Losses 24 16
Goals Scored 0.77 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.93 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2019 WSL 2
Millwall W vs Aston Villa W
1:3
Nov 4, 2018 WSL 2
Aston Villa W vs Millwall W
2:0
Apr 18, 2018 WSL 2
Millwall W vs Aston Villa W
2:1
Feb 11, 2018 WSL 2
Aston Villa W vs Millwall W
0:2
Mar 5, 2017 WSL 2
Aston Villa W vs Millwall W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Millwall W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lumsden B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Aston Villa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hutton J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smith T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Millwall W 40 / 100
Aston Villa W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Millwall W Aston Villa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Millwall W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aston Villa W has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Millwall W found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Millwall W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aston Villa W
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Millwall W

(Home)
26 Oct
Millwall W
0 : 2
Cheltenham W
10 Dec
Moneyfields W
1 : 0
Millwall W
26 Nov
Millwall W
2 : 0
Bromley W
12 Nov
Denham United W
2 : 3
Millwall W
13 Nov
Millwall W
2 : 3
Gillingham W
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Aston Villa W

(Away)
27 Sept
Tottenham W
4 : 0
Aston Villa W
23 Sept
Nottingham W
0 : 2
Aston Villa W
20 Sept
Brighton W
1 : 1
Aston Villa W
13 Sept
Aston Villa W
1 : 4
Manchester City W
05 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 1
Aston Villa W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester United W 20 18 1 1 98:7 55
2 Tottenham W 20 15 1 4 44:27 46
3 Charlton W 20 13 2 5 49:21 41
4 Durham W 20 11 6 3 37:16 39
5 Sheffield Utd W 20 11 1 8 35:31 34
6 Aston Villa W 20 6 8 6 30:39 26
7 Leicester W 20 6 3 11 27:44 21
8 London Bees W 20 7 0 13 23:48 21
9 Lewes W 20 5 2 13 23:47 17
10 Crystal Palace W 20 3 2 15 14:44 11
11 Millwall W 20 1 2 17 14:70 5
Promotion - Women’s Super League 2019/2020 (Main)
Promotion - Women’s Super League 2019/2020 (Main)