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Millwall W vs Lewes W

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

84'
Taylor A.
90' Event
Neville G.

AI Match Summary

Millwall W in this Women’s FA Cup 2018/2019 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Millwall W
20%
Draws
36%
Lewes W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Millwall W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lewes W lately — more wins on the board than Millwall W.
  • Model gives Millwall W a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Lewes W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lewes W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Millwall W Clean Sheet 11%
Lewes W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Millwall W Lewes W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 18
Draws 2 2
Losses 24 13
Goals Scored 0.77 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.93 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2019 WSL 2
Lewes W vs Millwall W
2:0
Feb 10, 2019 Women’s FA Cup
Millwall W vs Lewes W
1:0
Dec 5, 2018 Women's League Cup
Millwall W vs Lewes W
0:2
Sep 9, 2018 WSL 2
Millwall W vs Lewes W
0:3
Mar 24, 2013 Women's National League South
Lewes W vs Millwall W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Millwall W Compare

Top Goalscorer Neville G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Lewes W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Millwall W 35 / 100
Lewes W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Millwall W Lewes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lewes W has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Millwall W scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Millwall W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lewes W
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Millwall W

(Home)
26 Oct
Millwall W
0 : 2
Cheltenham W
10 Dec
Moneyfields W
1 : 0
Millwall W
26 Nov
Millwall W
2 : 0
Bromley W
12 Nov
Denham United W
2 : 3
Millwall W
13 Nov
Millwall W
2 : 3
Gillingham W
Page 1 of 6

Lewes W

(Away)
20 Sept
Lewes W
3 : 0
Cheltenham W
13 Sept
Lewes W
1 : 1
Bournemouth W
30 Aug
Exeter W
3 : 1
Lewes W
23 Aug
Oxford Utd W
3 : 0
Lewes W
16 Aug
Lewes W
1 : 1
Hashtag W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Manchester City W -
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Middlesbrough W -
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Chorley W 1
Stockport W 2
Buckland W 2
Cheltenham W 0
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Watford W -
Crystal Palace W -
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Tottenham W -
Millwall W -
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Lewes W -
Milton Keynes Dons W -
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Poole Town W 0
Southampton FC W 3
Sheffield FC W -
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Nottingham W -
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Liverpool W -
Durham W -
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Bolton W 1
Norton & Stockton W 0
Leicester City Development W 1
West Brom W 2
QPR W -
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Cardiff City W -
AFC Wimbledon W 4
New London Lionesses W 3
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Portsmouth W -
Long Eaton W 3
Nettleham W 2
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Hull City W -
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Bristol City W -
Arsenal W -
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Coventry United W -
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Plymouth W -
Selsey W -
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QPR B W 0
Haywards Heath W 6
Everton W -
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Chelsea W -
Reading W -
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AFC Fylde W -
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Sunderland W -
Basildon W -
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Bournemouth W 1
Keynsham Town W 8
Yeovil W -
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Birmingham W -
London Bees W -
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Leicester W -
Brighton W -
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Manchester United W -
Aston Villa W -
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Derby W -
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Guiseley Vixens W -
Chester-Le-Street Town W 5
United of Manchester W 0
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Stoke City LFC W -
Loughborough Foxes W -
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Gillingham W -
Luton W 2
Kent Football W 1
Norwich W 2
Billericay W 3
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Sheffield Utd W -
Huddersfield W -
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Bradford City W -
Doncaster W -
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Brighouse Town W 0
Leeds W 1
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Charlton W -
Blackburn W -
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Kidderminster W 1
Wolverhampton W 6
Cambridge Utd W 2
Cambridge City W 0
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Oxford Utd W -
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West Ham W -
1/64-finals
Manchester City W -
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Middlesbrough W 1
Stockport W 0
Buckland W 0
Watford W 1
Crystal Palace W -
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Tottenham W -
Millwall W -
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Lewes W -
Milton Keynes Dons W 4
Southampton FC W 0
Sheffield FC W 2
Nottingham W 3
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Liverpool W -
Durham W -
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Bolton W 3
West Brom W 2
QPR W 0
Cardiff City W 4
AFC Wimbledon W 2
Portsmouth W 0
Long Eaton W 0
Hull City W 5
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Bristol City W -
Arsenal W -
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Coventry United W 2
Plymouth W 1
Selsey W 0
Haywards Heath W 2
Everton W -
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Chelsea W -
Reading W -
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AFC Fylde W 3
Sunderland W 1
Basildon W 3
Keynsham Town W 8
Yeovil W -
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Birmingham W -
London Bees W -
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Leicester W -
Brighton W -
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Manchester United W -
Aston Villa W -
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Derby W 2
Guiseley Vixens W 0
Chester-Le-Street Town W 0
Stoke City LFC W 2
Loughborough Foxes W 3
Gillingham W 1
Luton W 1
Billericay W 3
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Sheffield Utd W -
Huddersfield W 7
Bradford City W 1
Doncaster W 3
Leeds W 4
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Charlton W -
Blackburn W 4
Wolverhampton W 0
Cambridge Utd W 0
Oxford Utd W 4
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West Ham W -
1/32-finals
Manchester City W -
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Middlesbrough W 2
Watford W 7
Crystal Palace W -
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Tottenham W -
Millwall W -
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Lewes W -
Milton Keynes Dons W 1
Nottingham W 0
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Liverpool W -
Durham W -
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Bolton W 0
Cardiff City W 2
AFC Wimbledon W 3
Hull City W 0
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Bristol City W -
Arsenal W -
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Coventry United W 1
Haywards Heath W 2
Everton W -
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Chelsea W -
Reading W -
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AFC Fylde W 1
Keynsham Town W 2
Yeovil W -
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Birmingham W -
London Bees W -
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Leicester W -
Brighton W -
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Manchester United W -
Aston Villa W -
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Derby W 1
Stoke City LFC W 2
Loughborough Foxes W 4
Billericay W 3
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Sheffield Utd W -
Huddersfield W 4
Leeds W 1
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Charlton W -
Blackburn W 2
Oxford Utd W 1
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West Ham W -
1/16-finals
Manchester City W 3
Watford W 0
Crystal Palace W 0
Tottenham W 3
Millwall W 1
Lewes W 0
Milton Keynes Dons W 0
Liverpool W 6
Durham W 5
Cardiff City W 1
AFC Wimbledon W 0
Bristol City W 3
Arsenal W 4
Haywards Heath W 0
Everton W 0
Chelsea W 2
Reading W 13
Keynsham Town W 0
Yeovil W 1
Birmingham W 3
London Bees W 2
Leicester W 0
Brighton W 0
Manchester United W 2
Aston Villa W 2
Stoke City LFC W 1
Loughborough Foxes W 0
Sheffield Utd W 2
Huddersfield W 4
Charlton W 3
Blackburn W 1
West Ham W 3
1/8-finals
Manchester City W 3
Tottenham W 0
Millwall W 0
Liverpool W 2
Durham W 2
Bristol City W 0
Arsenal W 0
Chelsea W 3
Reading W 2
Birmingham W 1
London Bees W 0
Manchester United W 3
Aston Villa W 4
Sheffield Utd W 3
Huddersfield W 1
West Ham W 8
Quarter-finals
Manchester City W 3
Liverpool W 0
Durham W 0
Chelsea W 1
Reading W 3
Manchester United W 2
Aston Villa W 0
West Ham W 1
Semi-finals
Manchester City W 1
Chelsea W 0
Reading W 1
West Ham W 2
Final
Manchester City W 3
West Ham W 0