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Milsami vs Politehnica UTM - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga Complexul Sportiv Raional, Orhei
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Milsami host Politehnica UTM in the Super Liga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Politehnica UTM have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while Milsami have conceded 1.19 and scored 0.87. Head-to-head, Milsami have won 3 to Politehnica UTM's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.50) back Politehnica UTM to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Milsami
20%
Draws
23%
Politehnica UTM
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Milsami

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Politehnica UTM have won more games recently than Milsami.
  • Win probability leans Milsami's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Milsami here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Milsami Clean Sheet 16%
Politehnica UTM Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Milsami Politehnica UTM
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.87 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Super Liga
Politehnica UTM vs Milsami
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Super Liga
Politehnica UTM vs Milsami
0:5
Aug 17, 2025 Super Liga
Milsami vs Politehnica UTM
4:1
Jun 28, 2025 Super Liga
Politehnica UTM vs Milsami
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Milsami 84 / 100
Politehnica UTM 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Milsami Politehnica UTM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Milsami Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Politehnica UTM conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Milsami went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Politehnica UTM lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Milsami VS Politehnica UTM
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Milsami

(Home)
20 Sept
Real Sireti
1 : 2
Milsami
13 Sept
Milsami
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
06 Sept
CSF Balti
1 : 3
Milsami
30 Aug
Dacia Buiucani
0 : 0
Milsami
22 Aug
Milsami
1 : 0
Petrocub Hincesti
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Politehnica UTM

(Away)
19 Sept
Politehnica UTM
0 : 1
Petrocub Hincesti
12 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1
Politehnica UTM
05 Sept
Politehnica UTM
2 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
29 Aug
Politehnica UTM
0 : 0
Real Sireti
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0
Politehnica UTM
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 13 8 4 1 32:10 28
2 Zimbru Chisinau 13 8 2 3 27:12 26
3 Petrocub Hincesti 13 7 3 3 24:13 24
4 Dacia Buiucani 13 6 2 5 17:16 20
5 Milsami 13 4 5 4 13:17 17
6 Politehnica UTM 13 4 3 6 18:19 15
7 Real Sireti 13 0 7 6 8:19 7
8 CSF Balti 13 1 2 10 9:42 5
Promotion - Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super Liga (Relegation Group)