Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Milsami vs Virtus

Europe Europe

Conference League 2025/2026 Stadionul Zimbru, Chişinău
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Nwaeze C.
Assist: Khali N.
38'
Sub
Piscaglia D. In: De Lucia U.
Out: Piscaglia D.
45'
Cobet A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Milsami advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Milsami
30%
Draws
35%
Virtus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Virtus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Virtus arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Milsami, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Milsami Clean Sheet 68%
Virtus Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Milsami Virtus
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 18
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 0.86 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2025 Conference League
Virtus vs Milsami
3:0
Aug 7, 2025 Conference League
Milsami vs Virtus
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Milsami Compare

Top Goalscorer Nwaeze C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khali N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Scappini S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Milsami 41 / 100
Virtus 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Milsami Virtus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Milsami Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Milsami has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Virtus has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Milsami scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Milsami VS Virtus
0.38 Goals Scored 1.17
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Milsami

(Home)
22 Aug
Milsami
1 : 0
Petrocub Hincesti
16 Aug
Zimbru Chisinau
4 : 2
Milsami
08 Aug
Politehnica UTM
1 : 1
Milsami
01 Aug
Milsami
2 : 2
Real Sireti
26 Jul
Sheriff Tiraspol
0 : 0
Milsami
Page 1 of 6

Virtus

(Away)
16 Jul
Virtus
1 : 0
Dila Gori
09 Jul
Dila Gori
3 : 1
Virtus
30 Jun
Virtus
2 : 3
Vardar
16 May
Virtus
2 : 1
La Fiorita
12 May
SP Domagnano
2 : 1
Virtus
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zalgiris -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Buducnost -
TBD -
TBD -
Milsami -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Virtus -
Drita -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
Differdange -
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
O. Ljubljana -
TBD -
TBD -
Inter Escaldes -
Din. Minsk -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Noah -
Strasbourg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vllaznia 4
BFC Daugavpils 3
Malisheva 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 9
HB Torshavn -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby -
Silkeborg -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Novi Pazar -
TBD -
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Zira FK -
TBD -
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Atletic Escaldes 5
Dudelange 2
TBD -
Dinamo City -
Shakhtar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Servette -
Anderlecht -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol -
Aris Limassol -
TBD -
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
AEK -
TBD -
TBD -
H. Beer Sheva -
Viking -
TBD -
Zeljeznicar 2
Koper 4
Cherno More -
TBD -
TBD -
Basaksehir -
FK Sarajevo -
TBD -
TBD -
Univ. Craiova -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartak Trnava -
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fredrikstad -
Lugano -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Celje -
Ostrava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Austria Vienna -
TBD -
TBD -
Spaeri -
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
TBD -
Zilina -
Zhodino 4
Rabotnicki 0
TBD -
Maccabi Haifa -
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Penybont 1
Valur 5
Flora 1
Arda -
TBD -
NSI Runavik 4
HJK 5
Oleksandriya -
TBD -
TBD -
Partizan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernian -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Legia -
Levski Sofia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birkirkara 1
Petrocub Hincesti 3
TBD -
Sabah Baku -
Ilves -
TBD -
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar -
Vaduz -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
TBD -
Borac Banja Luka 3
FC Santa Coloma 4
Paks -
TBD -
TBD -
Maribor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fiorentina -
AIK -
TBD -
Magpies 3
Paide Linnameeskond 7
Tre Fiori 1
Pyunik Yerevan 5
TBD -
Gyor -
Decic 3
Sileks 2
TBD -
Rapid Vienna -
Dundee Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
UNA Strassen -
Radnicki 1923 -
TBD -
SJK 1
Klaksvik 4
FC Kosice -
TBD -
Urartu 1
Neman 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rayo Vallecano -
La Fiorita 2
Vardar 5
TBD -
Lausanne -
Zimbru Chisinau -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Astana -
St. Patricks 3
FC Hegelmann 0
Kalju 2
Partizani 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Besiktas -
Larne 3
FK Auda Riga 2
TBD -
Prishtina -
Varazdin -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
FC Ballkani -
TBD -
Floriana 5
Haverfordwest 3
St Josephs 5
Cliftonville 4
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Rosenborg -
TBD -
TBD -
Banga -
Hammarby -
TBD -
TBD -
Charleroi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mainz -
Aktobe -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Prague -
Ararat-Armenia -
TBD -
TBD -
Universitatea Cluj -
Riga FC -
TBD -
Racing Luxembourg 1
Dila Gori 3
Sutjeska 3
Dynamo Brest 2
TBD -
Beitar Jerusalem -
Hacken -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CFR Cluj -
Wolfsberger AC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Araz PFK -
TBD -
TBD -
Aris -
Omonia -
TBD -
Torpedo Kutaisi 5
Ordabasy 4
Quarter-finals
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur -
TBD -
Zalgiris 0
Linfield 2
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Buducnost 1
Milsami 2
TBD -
Virtus -
Drita -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS 0
Differdange 2
Levadia 3
Iberia 1999 2
O. Ljubljana 5
Inter Escaldes 3
Din. Minsk 0
KF Egnatia 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Noah -
Strasbourg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vllaznia 4
Vikingur Reykjavik 5
HB Torshavn 1
Brondby 2
Silkeborg 4
KA Akureyri 3
Novi Pazar 2
Jagiellonia 5
Zira FK 2
Hajduk Split 3
Atletic Escaldes 2
Dinamo City 3
Shakhtar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Servette -
Anderlecht -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol -
Aris Limassol 5
Puskas Academy 2
AEK 1
H. Beer Sheva 0
Viking 12
Koper 3
Cherno More 0
Basaksehir 5
FK Sarajevo 2
Univ. Craiova 5
Hibernians 2
Spartak Trnava 7
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fredrikstad -
Lugano -
TBD -
TBD -
Celje -
Ostrava -
TBD -
Austria Vienna 7
Spaeri 0
Rakow Czestochowa 6
Zilina 1
Zhodino 1
Maccabi Haifa 4
FK Kauno Zalgiris 3
Valur 2
Arda 3
HJK 2
Oleksandriya 0
Partizan 6
TBD -
Hibernian -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Legia -
Levski Sofia -
TBD -
Petrocub Hincesti 1
Sabah Baku 6
Ilves 4
AZ Alkmaar 8
Vaduz 3
Dungannon 1
Polissya Zhytomyr 5
FC Santa Coloma 3
Paks 2
Maribor 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fiorentina -
AIK 8
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Pyunik Yerevan 3
Gyor 4
Decic 2
Rapid Vienna 6
Dundee Utd 2
UNA Strassen 0
Radnicki 1923 0
Klaksvik 1
FC Kosice 3
Neman 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rayo Vallecano -
Vardar 2
Lausanne 6
Zimbru Chisinau 1
FC Astana 3
St. Patricks 3
Kalju 2
TBD -
Besiktas -
Larne 2
Prishtina 1
Varazdin 2
Santa Clara 3
FC Ballkani 5
Floriana 3
St Josephs 0
Shamrock Rovers 4
Rosenborg 7
Banga 0
Hammarby 2
Charleroi 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mainz -
Aktobe 2
Sparta Prague 5
Ararat-Armenia 2
Universitatea Cluj 1
Riga FC 5
Dila Gori 4
Sutjeska 3
Beitar Jerusalem 7
Hacken -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CFR Cluj -
Wolfsberger AC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Araz PFK 4
Aris 3
Omonia 5
Torpedo Kutaisi 0
Semi-finals
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
Vikingur 2
Linfield 3
Breidablik -
TBD -
Milsami 3
Virtus 5
Drita -
TBD -
Differdange 5
Levadia 4
O. Ljubljana 4
KF Egnatia 2
TBD -
Noah -
Strasbourg -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Brondby 4
Silkeborg 2
Jagiellonia 3
Hajduk Split 3
Dinamo City 4
Shakhtar -
TBD -
TBD -
Servette -
Anderlecht 4
Sheriff Tiraspol 1
Aris Limassol 3
AEK 5
Viking 2
Basaksehir 4
Univ. Craiova 6
Spartak Trnava 4
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
Fredrikstad -
Lugano 4
Celje 7
Ostrava 5
Austria Vienna 4
Rakow Czestochowa 2
Maccabi Haifa 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris 0
Arda 3
Partizan 3
Hibernian 4
TBD -
Legia -
Levski Sofia 3
Sabah Baku 0
AZ Alkmaar 4
Vaduz 0
Polissya Zhytomyr 4
Paks 2
TBD -
Fiorentina -
AIK 2
Gyor 3
Rapid Vienna 5
Dundee Utd 4
Klaksvik 2
Neman 3
TBD -
Rayo Vallecano -
Lausanne 5
FC Astana 1
St. Patricks 3
Besiktas 7
Larne 0
Santa Clara 3
FC Ballkani 1
Shamrock Rovers 4
Rosenborg 1
Hammarby 0
TBD -
Mainz -
Sparta Prague 6
Ararat-Armenia 2
Riga FC 4
Beitar Jerusalem 3
Hacken -
TBD -
TBD -
CFR Cluj -
Wolfsberger AC -
TBD -
Araz PFK 0
Omonia 9
Final
Hamrun 3
RFS 2
Shelbourne 5
Linfield 1
Breidablik 5
Virtus 2
Drita 3
Differdange 1
O. Ljubljana 3
Noah 7
Strasbourg 3
Brondby 2
Jagiellonia 4
Dinamo City 1
Shakhtar 3
Servette 2
Anderlecht 1
AEK 3
Basaksehir 2
Univ. Craiova 5
Crystal Palace 1
Fredrikstad 0
Celje 3
Ostrava 0
Rakow Czestochowa 3
Arda 1
Hibernian 4
Legia 5
Levski Sofia 1
AZ Alkmaar 6
Polissya Zhytomyr 2
Fiorentina 6
Gyor 2
Rapid Vienna 3
Neman 0
Rayo Vallecano 5
Lausanne 2
Besiktas 1
Santa Clara 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Rosenborg 3
Mainz 5
Sparta Prague 2
Riga FC 1
Hacken 7
CFR Cluj 3
Wolfsberger AC 2
Omonia 3