Sport Picks

Brazil

Brasiliense Women

Ceilandia W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Minas Brasilia W play Ceilandia W in the Brasiliense Women. Minas Brasilia W are favorites here. Recently, Minas Brasilia W averaged 2.58 goals scored and 1 conceded. Ceilandia W averaged 2.13 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Minas Brasilia W won 3, Ceilandia W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 11, 2025 ended 6:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.38 for Minas Brasilia W and 1.00 for Ceilandia W. This points to a Minas Brasilia W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%

Minas Brasilia W

15%

Draws

27%

Ceilandia W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Minas Brasilia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence

Minas Brasilia W picked up more points recently compared to Ceilandia W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.38 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 70%

Over 3.5 Goals 42%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Minas Brasilia W Clean Sheet 23%

Ceilandia W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Minas Brasilia W	Ceilandia W
Matches Played	33	8
Wins	20	3
Draws	6	1
Losses	7	4
Goals Scored	2.58	2.13
Goals Conceded	1	2.5
Expected Goals (xG)	3.50	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Brasiliense Women

Minas Brasilia W vs Ceilandia W

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

6:1

Oct 2, 2025 Brasiliense Women

Ceilandia W vs Minas Brasilia W

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

1:6

Aug 30, 2025 Brasiliense Women

Minas Brasilia W vs Ceilandia W

Possession: 56% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minas Brasilia W 57 / 100

Ceilandia W 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Minas Brasilia W Ceilandia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minas Brasilia W Win (1)

Secondary Pick Minas Brasilia W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16%

2.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.2%

1.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Minas Brasilia W attacking → ← attacking Ceilandia W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Minas Brasilia W scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Ceilandia W let in goals in 63% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 6.67 goals.

Minas Brasilia W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ceilandia W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

66 Points in last 5 10

3.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.25