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Minas Brasilia W vs Paysandu PA W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Minas Brasilia W play Paysandu PA W in the Brasileiro A2 Women. Minas Brasilia W are favorites here. Recently, Minas Brasilia W averaged 2.67 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Paysandu PA W averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Minas Brasilia W won 1, Paysandu PA W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.50 for Minas Brasilia W and 0.76 for Paysandu PA W. This points to a Minas Brasilia W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Minas Brasilia W
18%
Draws
25%
Paysandu PA W
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Minas Brasilia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Minas Brasilia W picked up more points recently compared to Paysandu PA W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.50 vs 0.76 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Minas Brasilia W Clean Sheet 27%
Paysandu PA W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minas Brasilia W Paysandu PA W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.67 1.73
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Minas Brasilia W vs Paysandu PA W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Minas Brasilia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rayla
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Paysandu PA W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minas Brasilia W 57 / 100
Paysandu PA W 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minas Brasilia W Paysandu PA W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minas Brasilia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Minas Brasilia W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Minas Brasilia W attacking → ← attacking Paysandu PA W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Minas Brasilia W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Paysandu PA W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Minas Brasilia W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Paysandu PA W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 35
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vasco W12111043:834
2Itabirito W12101123:631
3Minas Brasilia W1292128:629
4Atletico-PI W1290329:1027
5Acao W1262415:1320
63B da Amazonia W1145211:817
7Sport Recife W1252513:1417
8Perolas Negras W1244416:1816
9Taubate W1242619:1714
10Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W1242612:2214
11Doce Mel W123459:1813
12Ceara W1131710:1710
13Vila Nova FC W1231812:2710
14Paysandu PA W123189:2410
15Itacoatiara W1211109:294
16UD Alagoana W1211107:284