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Mindelense vs Paulense

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2012
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2012 game between Mindelense and Paulense finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mindelense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Mindelense
30%
Draws
31%
Paulense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mindelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Paulense haven't matched Mindelense's recent run of results.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Mindelense taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Mindelense Clean Sheet 18%
Paulense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mindelense Paulense
Matches Played 46 30
Wins 24 9
Draws 14 11
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.59 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Campeonato Nacional
Paulense vs Mindelense
0:0
Jun 3, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Paulense
0:0
May 13, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Paulense vs Mindelense
0:1
Jun 27, 2015 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Paulense
2:0
Jun 20, 2015 Campeonato Nacional
Paulense vs Mindelense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mindelense 40 / 100
Paulense 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mindelense Paulense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mindelense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mindelense found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (46 games).

Defensive concern: Paulense conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Mindelense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mindelense VS Paulense
2 Goals Scored 1.57
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.29
88% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Mindelense

(Home)
04 Jul
Palmeira
3 : 2
Mindelense
27 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
20 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
2 : 2
Mindelense
14 Jun
SC Atletico
1 : 3
Mindelense
06 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Cutelinho
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Paulense

(Away)
14 Jun
Boavista da Praia
2 : 1
Paulense
07 Jun
Paulense
2 : 2
Boavista da Praia
24 May
Botafogo
0 : 1
Paulense
18 May
Paulense
2 : 2
Sport Sal-Rei
10 May
Scorpion Vermelho
1 : 5
Paulense
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Praia 5 3 2 0 15:3 11
2 Academica do Fogo 5 2 2 1 3:3 8
3 FC Juventude Sal 5 2 2 1 8:9 8
4 Batuque FC 5 2 2 1 6:3 8
5 Estrela dos Amadores 5 1 2 2 8:7 5
6 Associacao Academica da Brava 5 0 0 5 1:16 0
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Atletico 5 5 0 0 15:8 15
2 Academica Porto Novo 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
3 Mindelense 5 2 1 2 10:4 7
4 Paulense 5 1 2 2 6:9 5
5 Academica Boavista 5 0 2 3 9:16 2
6 Academico 83 5 0 2 3 6:13 2
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2012 (Play Offs)