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Mindelense vs Travadores

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2023 game between Mindelense and Travadores finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mindelense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Mindelense
15%
Draws
40%
Travadores
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mindelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Mindelense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mindelense are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Mindelense Clean Sheet 20%
Travadores Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mindelense Travadores
Matches Played 29 6
Wins 14 3
Draws 9 0
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 1.48 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.97 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2023 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Travadores
1:0
Apr 29, 2023 Campeonato Nacional
Travadores vs Mindelense
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mindelense 40 / 100
Travadores 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mindelense Travadores

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mindelense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mindelense scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Travadores conceded in 67% of 6 recent games.

Solid form: Mindelense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mindelense VS Travadores
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mindelense

(Home)
04 Jul
Palmeira
3 : 2
Mindelense
27 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
20 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
2 : 2
Mindelense
14 Jun
SC Atletico
1 : 3
Mindelense
06 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Cutelinho
Page 1 of 6

Travadores

(Away)
11 Jun
Travadores
3 : 1
Juventude
04 Jun
Mindelense
1 : 0
Travadores
20 May
Travadores
4 : 0
Santo Crucifixo
13 May
Santo Crucifixo
0 : 1
Travadores
29 Apr
Travadores
0 : 1
Mindelense
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mindelense 6 4 2 0 6:0 14
2 Travadores 6 3 0 3 10:6 9
3 Santo Crucifixo 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
4 Juventude 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeira 6 4 0 2 10:6 12
2 Vulcanico Clube 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 Belo Horizonte 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
4 Sanjoanenses 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica do Mindelo 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Morabeza 6 2 4 0 6:4 10
3 Figueirense 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
4 GD Varandinha 6 0 3 3 6:11 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams