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Mineiros vs Bom Jesus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Bosco

AI Match Summary

Mineiros in this Goiano 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mineiros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Mineiros
30%
Draws
26%
Bom Jesus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mineiros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Bom Jesus at 2.04 per game, Mineiros at 1.48.
  • Mineiros are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Goiano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Mineiros have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Mineiros Clean Sheet 20%
Bom Jesus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mineiros Bom Jesus
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 17
Draws 5 9
Losses 7 2
Goals Scored 1.48 2.04
Goals Conceded 0.72 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Goiano 2
Mineiros vs Bom Jesus
1:0
Aug 30, 2026 Goiano 2
Bom Jesus vs Mineiros
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Goiano 3
Bom Jesus vs Mineiros
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mineiros Compare

Top Goalscorer Bosco
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Bom Jesus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mineiros 67 / 100
Bom Jesus 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mineiros Bom Jesus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mineiros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Mineiros stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Mineiros scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Bom Jesus has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mineiros VS Bom Jesus
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mineiros

(Home)
07 Oct
Mineiros
2 : 0
Trindade
02 Oct
Mineiros
1 : 0
Morrinhos
27 Sept
Goianesia
0 : 1
Mineiros
23 Sept
Mineiros
1 : 0
Tupy FC
20 Sept
Mineiros
3 : 0
Gremio Anapolis
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Bom Jesus

(Away)
07 Oct
Bom Jesus
3 : 2
Morrinhos
03 Oct
Bom Jesus
2 : 0
Trindade
27 Sept
Rio Verde
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
23 Sept
Gremio Anapolis
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
20 Sept
Bom Jesus
1 : 1
Goiania
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Verde 17 9 6 2 26:12 33
2 Bom Jesus 17 8 7 2 24:15 31
3 Goianesia 17 8 6 3 24:19 30
4 Mineiros 17 8 4 5 19:14 28
5 Morrinhos 17 6 4 7 24:24 22
6 Goiania 17 4 8 5 13:18 20
7 Tupy FC 17 4 7 6 15:17 19
8 Sao Luis 17 3 7 7 19:26 16
9 Gremio Anapolis 17 3 5 9 20:27 14
10 Trindade 17 2 6 9 13:25 12
Promotion - Goiano 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Goiano 3 (Main)