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Mineros de Fresnillo vs Calor De San Pedro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mineros de Fresnillo host Calor De San Pedro in the Liga Premier Serie A. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Calor De San Pedro have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Mineros de Fresnillo have conceded 1.23 and scored 1.73. Past meetings favor Mineros de Fresnillo slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 20, 2024, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.00) point toward Mineros de Fresnillo. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Mineros de Fresnillo
15%
Draws
39%
Calor De San Pedro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mineros de Fresnillo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mineros de Fresnillo lately — more wins on the board than Calor De San Pedro.
  • Win probability leans Mineros de Fresnillo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Mineros de Fresnillo Clean Sheet 20%
Calor De San Pedro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mineros de Fresnillo Calor De San Pedro
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.73 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Mineros de Fresnillo vs Calor De San Pedro
3:1
Aug 19, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Calor De San Pedro vs Mineros de Fresnillo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mineros de Fresnillo 58 / 100
Calor De San Pedro 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mineros de Fresnillo Calor De San Pedro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mineros de Fresnillo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mineros de Fresnillo's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Calor De San Pedro let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Mineros de Fresnillo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mineros de Fresnillo VS Calor De San Pedro
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mineros de Fresnillo

(Home)
10 Oct
Zapotlanejo
2 : 4
Mineros de Fresnillo
03 Oct
Mineros de Fresnillo
3 : 0
Saltillo Soccer F.C.
27 Sept
Vaqueros
2 : 1
Mineros de Fresnillo
19 Sept
Mineros de Fresnillo
2 : 0
Heroes de Zaci
11 Sept
Mineros de Fresnillo
2 : 0
FC Santiago
Page 1 of 6

Calor De San Pedro

(Away)
10 Oct
Canoneros FC
1 : 7
Calor De San Pedro
02 Oct
Calor De San Pedro
3 : 2
Acambaro
27 Sept
Halcones Negros
7 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
19 Sept
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0
Ciervos
12 Sept
Real Refineros
0 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vaqueros 7 5 1 1 13:9 16
2 Mineros de Fresnillo 7 4 2 1 12:4 15
3 La Tribu de Cd. Juarez 7 4 0 3 15:10 13
4 Zapotlanejo 7 4 1 2 12:10 13
5 FC Santiago 7 3 1 3 11:7 11
6 Correcaminos 2 7 3 2 2 8:7 11
7 Guerreros de Autlan 6 2 1 3 10:12 8
8 Saltillo Soccer F.C. 7 3 0 4 10:17 8
9 Apodaca 7 1 1 5 7:13 4
10 Heroes de Zaci 6 0 1 5 3:12 2
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artesanos Metepec 7 6 1 0 17:5 20
2 Dragones de Oaxaca 6 4 1 1 14:7 15
3 Halcones Negros 7 4 1 2 20:6 14
4 Acambaro 7 4 1 2 21:10 13
5 Calor De San Pedro 6 3 1 2 14:13 12
6 CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos 7 2 3 2 9:9 9
7 Guerreros del Pacifico 5 2 1 2 4:4 8
8 Real Refineros 7 2 1 4 11:13 7
9 Ciervos 7 1 0 6 5:24 2
10 Canoneros FC 7 0 0 7 2:26 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)